Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed April 30, 2026, at $407.78, down 3.93% from the prior day amid post-earnings volatility following the fiscal Q3 2026 results released April 29. The company beat analyst estimates with adjusted EPS of $4.27 versus $4.06 expected and revenue of $82.89 billion, up 18% year-over-year, driven by robust Azure cloud growth. However, guidance for $190 billion in fiscal 2026 capital expenditures—up $25 billion from prior plans due to surging AI memory chip prices—sparked margin compression fears, prompting a selloff despite strong fundamentals. Shares had hovered in the mid-$420s earlier in April, reflecting year-to-date declines of about 15% tied to broader tech sector pressures; traders eye Q4 earnings in late July for capex updates and AI monetization progress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$25,836 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$270
Yes
$285
Yes
$300
Yes
$315
Yes
$330
Yes
$345
Yes
$360
Yes
$375
Yes
$390
Yes
$405
Yes
$420
No
$435
No
$450
No
$25,836 Vol.
$270
$607 Vol.
Yes
$285
$1,761 Vol.
Yes
$300
$1,826 Vol.
Yes
$315
$4,327 Vol.
Yes
$330
$955 Vol.
Yes
$345
$1,173 Vol.
Yes
$360
$3,266 Vol.
Yes
$375
$1,500 Vol.
Yes
$390
$1,529 Vol.
Yes
$405
$1,134 Vol.
Yes
$420
$1,186 Vol.
No
$435
$1,081 Vol.
No
$450
$5,491 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed April 30, 2026, at $407.78, down 3.93% from the prior day amid post-earnings volatility following the fiscal Q3 2026 results released April 29. The company beat analyst estimates with adjusted EPS of $4.27 versus $4.06 expected and revenue of $82.89 billion, up 18% year-over-year, driven by robust Azure cloud growth. However, guidance for $190 billion in fiscal 2026 capital expenditures—up $25 billion from prior plans due to surging AI memory chip prices—sparked margin compression fears, prompting a selloff despite strong fundamentals. Shares had hovered in the mid-$420s earlier in April, reflecting year-to-date declines of about 15% tied to broader tech sector pressures; traders eye Q4 earnings in late July for capex updates and AI monetization progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$25,836End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed April 30, 2026, at $407.78, down 3.93% from the prior day amid post-earnings volatility following the fiscal Q3 2026 results released April 29. The company beat analyst estimates with adjusted EPS of $4.27 versus $4.06 expected and revenue of $82.89 billion, up 18% year-over-year, driven by robust Azure cloud growth. However, guidance for $190 billion in fiscal 2026 capital expenditures—up $25 billion from prior plans due to surging AI memory chip prices—sparked margin compression fears, prompting a selloff despite strong fundamentals. Shares had hovered in the mid-$420s earlier in April, reflecting year-to-date declines of about 15% tied to broader tech sector pressures; traders eye Q4 earnings in late July for capex updates and AI monetization progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$25,836End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Microsoft (MSFT) shares closed April 30, 2026, at $407.78, down 3.93% from the prior day amid post-earnings volatility following the fiscal Q3 2026 results released April 29. The company beat analyst estimates with adjusted EPS of $4.27 versus $4.06 expected and revenue of $82.89 billion, up 18% year-over-year, driven by robust Azure cloud growth. However, guidance for $190 billion in fiscal 2026 capital expenditures—up $25 billion from prior plans due to surging AI memory chip prices—sparked margin compression fears, prompting a selloff despite strong fundamentals. Shares had hovered in the mid-$420s earlier in April, reflecting year-to-date declines of about 15% tied to broader tech sector pressures; traders eye Q4 earnings in late July for capex updates and AI monetization progress.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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