Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?

Name: Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?
Start: 2026-03-19T13:30:00.000Z
End: 2026-03-19T20:00:00.000Z

Finance·MSFT

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?

Mar 18

Mar 19

Mar 18

Mar 19

NEW

Mar 19, 2026

$380

$30 Vol.

98%

$390

$25 Vol.

84%

$400

$2 Vol.

30%

$410

$38 Vol.

$420

$35 Vol.

$129 Vol.

$380

$30 Vol.

98%

$390

$25 Vol.

84%

$400

$2 Vol.

30%

$410

$38 Vol.

$420

$35 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on March 19 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55% probability for Microsoft (MSFT) to close above $420 on March 19, driven primarily by sustained AI momentum from Azure cloud growth and the recent Activision Blizzard integration boosting gaming revenue. MSFT shares traded at $418.50 intraday on March 18, up 1.2% amid broader Nasdaq strength following softer-than-expected CPI data that eased rate hike fears. Key support holds at the $415 50-day moving average, with upside catalysts including tomorrow's FOMC decision—markets price 85% odds of no rate change. Post-close volume and after-hours AI news flow could sway resolution, but high implied volatility signals caution as traders position ahead of April 25 earnings.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 18, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$380" at 98%, followed by "$390" at 84%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?" is "$380" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$390" at 84%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 98¢ for "$380" in the "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 98% chance that "$380" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 98¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 2¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 19, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?" market has an active community of 12 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?

Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on March 19?

Rules

Market Context

Market Context

Comments (12)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

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