Microsoft's share price closed April 1, 2026, at $369.49, down 0.18% from the prior $370.17 close after opening at $373.16 and dipping to an intraday low of $368.20, reflecting persistent year-to-date pressure with a 26% decline amid a dismal Magnificent Seven quarter—the worst since 2008. Trader consensus on Polymarket captures this volatility, driven by organizational restructuring headwinds offsetting AI tailwinds like Microsoft's OpenAI funding participation and Southeast Asia cloud expansions. At a forward P/E of 23.10 and $2.75 trillion market cap, shares trade at a discount to analyst estimates averaging $588 (range $392–$730). Fiscal Q3 earnings on April 29 loom as the pivotal catalyst for cloud revenue and AI margin updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$14,414 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
$340
Yes
$350
Yes
$360
Yes
$370
No
$380
No
$14,414 Vol.
$340
$224 Vol.
Yes
$350
$215 Vol.
Yes
$360
$220 Vol.
Yes
$370
$13,663 Vol.
No
$380
$93 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on April 1 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft's share price closed April 1, 2026, at $369.49, down 0.18% from the prior $370.17 close after opening at $373.16 and dipping to an intraday low of $368.20, reflecting persistent year-to-date pressure with a 26% decline amid a dismal Magnificent Seven quarter—the worst since 2008. Trader consensus on Polymarket captures this volatility, driven by organizational restructuring headwinds offsetting AI tailwinds like Microsoft's OpenAI funding participation and Southeast Asia cloud expansions. At a forward P/E of 23.10 and $2.75 trillion market cap, shares trade at a discount to analyst estimates averaging $588 (range $392–$730). Fiscal Q3 earnings on April 29 loom as the pivotal catalyst for cloud revenue and AI margin updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on April 1 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 31, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$14,414End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on April 1 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft's share price closed April 1, 2026, at $369.49, down 0.18% from the prior $370.17 close after opening at $373.16 and dipping to an intraday low of $368.20, reflecting persistent year-to-date pressure with a 26% decline amid a dismal Magnificent Seven quarter—the worst since 2008. Trader consensus on Polymarket captures this volatility, driven by organizational restructuring headwinds offsetting AI tailwinds like Microsoft's OpenAI funding participation and Southeast Asia cloud expansions. At a forward P/E of 23.10 and $2.75 trillion market cap, shares trade at a discount to analyst estimates averaging $588 (range $392–$730). Fiscal Q3 earnings on April 29 loom as the pivotal catalyst for cloud revenue and AI margin updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on April 1 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$14,414End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Microsoft's share price closed April 1, 2026, at $369.49, down 0.18% from the prior $370.17 close after opening at $373.16 and dipping to an intraday low of $368.20, reflecting persistent year-to-date pressure with a 26% decline amid a dismal Magnificent Seven quarter—the worst since 2008. Trader consensus on Polymarket captures this volatility, driven by organizational restructuring headwinds offsetting AI tailwinds like Microsoft's OpenAI funding participation and Southeast Asia cloud expansions. At a forward P/E of 23.10 and $2.75 trillion market cap, shares trade at a discount to analyst estimates averaging $588 (range $392–$730). Fiscal Q3 earnings on April 29 loom as the pivotal catalyst for cloud revenue and AI margin updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions