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Finance·MSFT

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above___?

icon for Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above___?
Finance·MSFT

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above___?

4:00PM May 1

4:00PM May 1

NEW
May 1, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

$360

$0 Vol.

87%

$370

$0 Vol.

87%

$380

$0 Vol.

86%

$390

$0 Vol.

82%

$400

$0 Vol.

78%

$410

$0 Vol.

50%

$420

$0 Vol.

50%

$430

$0 Vol.

50%

$440

$0 Vol.

50%

$450

$0 Vol.

50%

$460

$0 Vol.

19%

$470

$0 Vol.

16%

$480

$0 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft (MSFT) shares trade around $420 as of April 24, down approximately 18% year-to-date amid a tech sector rotation away from megacaps, despite robust Q2 FY2026 results showing $81.3 billion in revenue and 39% Azure cloud growth fueled by AI demand. Trader sentiment hinges on the pivotal Q3 earnings release after market close on April 29, with consensus projecting $4.04 adjusted EPS and scrutiny on AI capital expenditures amid recent layoffs for efficiency. Broader market dynamics include elevated volatility from macroeconomic uncertainty and Treasury yield pressures, positioning the week-of-April 27 close (likely May 1) as highly sensitive to earnings guidance on Azure margins and capex trends, with analyst price targets averaging $575 implying significant upside potential.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$0
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft (MSFT) shares trade around $420 as of April 24, down approximately 18% year-to-date amid a tech sector rotation away from megacaps, despite robust Q2 FY2026 results showing $81.3 billion in revenue and 39% Azure cloud growth fueled by AI demand. Trader sentiment hinges on the pivotal Q3 earnings release after market close on April 29, with consensus projecting $4.04 adjusted EPS and scrutiny on AI capital expenditures amid recent layoffs for efficiency. Broader market dynamics include elevated volatility from macroeconomic uncertainty and Treasury yield pressures, positioning the week-of-April 27 close (likely May 1) as highly sensitive to earnings guidance on Azure margins and capex trends, with analyst price targets averaging $575 implying significant upside potential.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$0
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above___?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$360" at 87%, followed by "$370" at 87%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above___?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above___?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above___?" is "$360" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$370" at 87%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above___?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.