Trader consensus prices Yohei Takaoka as the clear 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year favorite at 40% implied probability, driven by his dominant 2024 breakout with Chicago Fire—leading the league with 143 saves, 78.3% save percentage, and 12 shutouts despite facing the most shots in MLS amid defensive struggles that still propelled a playoff berth. Michael Collodi follows at 29%, boosted by his recent multi-year signing with San Jose Earthquakes after a standout USL Championship run with Sacramento Republic, marking him as a top young American prospect. A tight cluster at 27.4%—Jonathan Sirois (CF Montréal's reliable starter), Kristijan Kahlina (Charlotte FC's league-best 0.92 GAA and 12 clean sheets), Luis Barraza, and Joe Willis—reflects the competitive depth among proven performers entering the offseason, with futures hinging on team improvements, distribution skills, and penalty save prowess in 2025-26.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedYohei Takaoka 36%
Daniel 24.1%
Roman Bürki 24.0%
Oscar Ustari 23.8%
Yohei Takaoka
36%
Daniel
24%
Roman Bürki
24%
Oscar Ustari
24%
Patrick Schulte
16%
Aljaž Ivačič
16%
Sean Johnson
15%
Carlos Coronel
14%
James Pantemis
5%
Zack Steffen
5%
Andre Blake
5%
Matt Freese
5%
Stefan Frei
5%
Lucas Hoyos
4%
Hugo Lloris
3%
CJ dos Santos
24%
Brad Stuver
24%
Rafael Cabral
20%
Jonathan Bond
23%
Novak Mićović
24%
Dayne St. Clair
24%
Chris Brady
1%
Roman Celentano
1%
Pedro Gallese
1%
John Pulskamp
1%
Michael Collodi
29%
Jonathan Sirois
-
Kristijan Kahlina
-
Luis Barraza
-
Joe Willis
-
Yohei Takaoka 36%
Daniel 24.1%
Roman Bürki 24.0%
Oscar Ustari 23.8%
Yohei Takaoka
36%
Daniel
24%
Roman Bürki
24%
Oscar Ustari
24%
Patrick Schulte
16%
Aljaž Ivačič
16%
Sean Johnson
15%
Carlos Coronel
14%
James Pantemis
5%
Zack Steffen
5%
Andre Blake
5%
Matt Freese
5%
Stefan Frei
5%
Lucas Hoyos
4%
Hugo Lloris
3%
CJ dos Santos
24%
Brad Stuver
24%
Rafael Cabral
20%
Jonathan Bond
23%
Novak Mićović
24%
Dayne St. Clair
24%
Chris Brady
1%
Roman Celentano
1%
Pedro Gallese
1%
John Pulskamp
1%
Michael Collodi
29%
Jonathan Sirois
-
Kristijan Kahlina
-
Luis Barraza
-
Joe Willis
-
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Yohei Takaoka as the clear 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year favorite at 40% implied probability, driven by his dominant 2024 breakout with Chicago Fire—leading the league with 143 saves, 78.3% save percentage, and 12 shutouts despite facing the most shots in MLS amid defensive struggles that still propelled a playoff berth. Michael Collodi follows at 29%, boosted by his recent multi-year signing with San Jose Earthquakes after a standout USL Championship run with Sacramento Republic, marking him as a top young American prospect. A tight cluster at 27.4%—Jonathan Sirois (CF Montréal's reliable starter), Kristijan Kahlina (Charlotte FC's league-best 0.92 GAA and 12 clean sheets), Luis Barraza, and Joe Willis—reflects the competitive depth among proven performers entering the offseason, with futures hinging on team improvements, distribution skills, and penalty save prowess in 2025-26.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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