Market icon
Sports·Perfect Game

MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?

Market icon
Sports·Perfect Game

MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?

18% chance
Polymarket
NEW
18% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no perfect game in the 2026 MLB season at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the feat's extreme rarity—only 24 in over 150 years, with the last by Domingo Germán in 2023—and 2025's unprecedented no-hitter drought, the first in two decades amid rising offense, fewer complete games, and bullpen-dominant strategies that cap starters' innings. Entering Opening Day, no early no-hitters have emerged despite solid debuts from pitchers like Hancock, but surging home runs and OPS from teams like the A's underscore persistent hitting advantages. Historical trends show perfect games cluster rarely, with modern factors like pitch counts and defensive shifts further diminishing odds despite ace rotations led by Cy Young contenders like Skubal.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,453
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no perfect game in the 2026 MLB season at 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the feat's extreme rarity—only 24 in over 150 years, with the last by Domingo Germán in 2023—and 2025's unprecedented no-hitter drought, the first in two decades amid rising offense, fewer complete games, and bullpen-dominant strategies that cap starters' innings. Entering Opening Day, no early no-hitters have emerged despite solid debuts from pitchers like Hancock, but surging home runs and OPS from teams like the A's underscore persistent hitting advantages. Historical trends show perfect games cluster rarely, with modern factors like pitch counts and defensive shifts further diminishing odds despite ace rotations led by Cy Young contenders like Skubal.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,453
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

Market icon

Will there be 1+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?

57%
Market icon

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?

90%
Market icon

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

27%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 18% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 18¢, the market collectively assigns a 18% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?" is 18% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 18% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.