As of early May 2026, MLB postseason probabilities hinge on early division leaders like the Yankees (23-11, atop AL East), Braves (23-11, surging in NL East with the largest division lead), Diamondbacks (21-11), Cardinals (21-12), and surprising Reds (around 20-13, leading NL Central on a hot streak fueled by Sal Stewart's power surge). Rays (21-12) and Brewers (20-12) lurk in wild card contention amid tight races. Tigers' Cy Young hopeful Tarik Skubal landed on the IL May 4 with an elbow injury, dimming their AL Central push. With 130+ games left, roster health, bullpen strength, and schedule rigor—plus looming trade deadline—will reshape the 12-team playoff field (three division winners plus three wild cards per league), where upsets and slumps like the Phillies' recent 10-game skid underscore high volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: Team to make postseason
MLB: Team to make postseason
Los Angeles Dodgers
99%
Atlanta Braves
91%
Chicago Cubs
88%
New York Yankees
86%
Seattle Mariners
64%
Milwaukee Brewers
62%
Tampa Bay Rays
73%
St. Louis Cardinals
56%
Texas Rangers
52%
Detroit Tigers
50%
Pittsburgh Pirates
44%
Cleveland Guardians
43%
Philadelphia Phillies
39%
Cincinnati Reds
38%
Athletics
31%
Arizona Diamondbacks
38%
San Diego Padres
33%
Baltimore Orioles
30%
Boston Red Sox
26%
Washington Nationals
25%
Minnesota Twins
25%
New York Mets
28%
Toronto Blue Jays
23%
Houston Astros
17%
San Francisco Giants
14%
Miami Marlins
25%
Los Angeles Angels
9%
Chicago White Sox
8%
Colorado Rockies
4%
Kansas City Royals
50%
$8,089 Vol.
Los Angeles Dodgers
99%
Atlanta Braves
91%
Chicago Cubs
88%
New York Yankees
86%
Seattle Mariners
64%
Milwaukee Brewers
62%
Tampa Bay Rays
73%
St. Louis Cardinals
56%
Texas Rangers
52%
Detroit Tigers
50%
Pittsburgh Pirates
44%
Cleveland Guardians
43%
Philadelphia Phillies
39%
Cincinnati Reds
38%
Athletics
31%
Arizona Diamondbacks
38%
San Diego Padres
33%
Baltimore Orioles
30%
Boston Red Sox
26%
Washington Nationals
25%
Minnesota Twins
25%
New York Mets
28%
Toronto Blue Jays
23%
Houston Astros
17%
San Francisco Giants
14%
Miami Marlins
25%
Los Angeles Angels
9%
Chicago White Sox
8%
Colorado Rockies
4%
Kansas City Royals
50%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs.
If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs.
If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of early May 2026, MLB postseason probabilities hinge on early division leaders like the Yankees (23-11, atop AL East), Braves (23-11, surging in NL East with the largest division lead), Diamondbacks (21-11), Cardinals (21-12), and surprising Reds (around 20-13, leading NL Central on a hot streak fueled by Sal Stewart's power surge). Rays (21-12) and Brewers (20-12) lurk in wild card contention amid tight races. Tigers' Cy Young hopeful Tarik Skubal landed on the IL May 4 with an elbow injury, dimming their AL Central push. With 130+ games left, roster health, bullpen strength, and schedule rigor—plus looming trade deadline—will reshape the 12-team playoff field (three division winners plus three wild cards per league), where upsets and slumps like the Phillies' recent 10-game skid underscore high volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions