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Politics·Michigan

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Michigan

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Shri Thanedar 48%

Donavan McKinney 42%

Anthony Carbonaro 6%

Shelby Campbell 4%

Polymarket

$20,338 Vol.

Shri Thanedar 48%

Donavan McKinney 42%

Anthony Carbonaro 6%

Shelby Campbell 4%

Polymarket

$20,338 Vol.

Shri Thanedar

$430 Vol.

48%

Donavan McKinney

$19,908 Vol.

42%

Anthony Carbonaro

$0 Vol.

6%

Shelby Campbell

$0 Vol.

4%

Nazmul Hassan

$0 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a slim 47% trader consensus edge over state Rep. Donavan McKinney's 42.5% in the MI-13 Democratic primary set for August 4, reflecting a tight contest driven by McKinney's recent fundraising surge—outraising Thanedar in the latest quarter despite the incumbent's larger cash reserves—and progressive endorsements from the Working Families Party and local Black leaders seeking greater Detroit representation. Thanedar's position faces headwinds from mid-March viral backlash over his "Abolish ICE Act" proposal and accent in public clips, eroding voter familiarity in the plurality-Black district. Separation could emerge from April 20 nominating petition deadlines, additional endorsements, or early polls, with lower-tier candidates like Anthony Carbonaro trailing far behind.

Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a slim 47% trader consensus edge over state Rep. Donavan McKinney's 42.5% in the MI-13 Democratic primary set for August 4, reflecting a tight contest driven by McKinney's recent fundraising surge—outraising Thanedar in the latest quarter despite the incumbent's larger cash reserves—and progressive endorsements from the Working Families Party and local Black leaders seeking greater Detroit representation. Thanedar's position faces headwinds from mid-March viral backlash over his "Abolish ICE Act" proposal and accent in public clips, eroding voter familiarity in the plurality-Black district. Separation could emerge from April 20 nominating petition deadlines, additional endorsements, or early polls, with lower-tier candidates like Anthony Carbonaro trailing far behind.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a slim 47% trader consensus edge over state Rep. Donavan McKinney's 42.5% in the MI-13 Democratic primary set for August 4, reflecting a tight contest driven by McKinney's recent fundraising surge—outraising Thanedar in the latest quarter despite the incumbent's larger cash reserves—and progressive endorsements from the Working Families Party and local Black leaders seeking greater Detroit representation. Thanedar's position faces headwinds from mid-March viral backlash over his "Abolish ICE Act" proposal and accent in public clips, eroding voter familiarity in the plurality-Black district. Separation could emerge from April 20 nominating petition deadlines, additional endorsements, or early polls, with lower-tier candidates like Anthony Carbonaro trailing far behind.

Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a slim 47% trader consensus edge over state Rep. Donavan McKinney's 42.5% in the MI-13 Democratic primary set for August 4, reflecting a tight contest driven by McKinney's recent fundraising surge—outraising Thanedar in the latest quarter despite the incumbent's larger cash reserves—and progressive endorsements from the Working Families Party and local Black leaders seeking greater Detroit representation. Thanedar's position faces headwinds from mid-March viral backlash over his "Abolish ICE Act" proposal and accent in public clips, eroding voter familiarity in the plurality-Black district. Separation could emerge from April 20 nominating petition deadlines, additional endorsements, or early polls, with lower-tier candidates like Anthony Carbonaro trailing far behind.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shri Thanedar" at 48%, followed by "Donavan McKinney" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $20.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Shri Thanedar" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donavan McKinney" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.