Meta's stock has rallied sharply into March 25, with trader consensus on Polymarket implying 65% odds of closing above $500, driven primarily by robust Q4 earnings that beat expectations on advertising revenue and AI infrastructure investments exceeding $40 billion annually. Strong user growth in WhatsApp and Instagram Reels, plus Llama 3 model advancements positioning Meta competitively against OpenAI and Google in generative AI, fuel bullish sentiment amid broader tech sector momentum from delayed Fed rate cuts. Key risks include antitrust scrutiny from EU regulators and potential ad market softening; watch intraday volatility around the close, with next earnings on April 30 as a post-deadline catalyst. Historical precedent shows META often gaps up 2-3% on positive AI news, supporting upside potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$580
97%
$590
73%
$600
39%
$610
9%
$620
2%
$2,049 Vol.
$580
97%
$590
73%
$600
39%
$610
9%
$620
2%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Meta's stock has rallied sharply into March 25, with trader consensus on Polymarket implying 65% odds of closing above $500, driven primarily by robust Q4 earnings that beat expectations on advertising revenue and AI infrastructure investments exceeding $40 billion annually. Strong user growth in WhatsApp and Instagram Reels, plus Llama 3 model advancements positioning Meta competitively against OpenAI and Google in generative AI, fuel bullish sentiment amid broader tech sector momentum from delayed Fed rate cuts. Key risks include antitrust scrutiny from EU regulators and potential ad market softening; watch intraday volatility around the close, with next earnings on April 30 as a post-deadline catalyst. Historical precedent shows META often gaps up 2-3% on positive AI news, supporting upside potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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