Name: Matty's UFC 313 Money Line Parlay
Start: 2025-03-03T23:50:17.634861Z
End: 2025-03-08T12:00:00Z

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Enable updates from the sports websocket.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if during UFC 313 on March 8, 2025, all of the following occurs:

-In the light heavyweight championship bout between Alex Pereira and Magomed Ankalaev, Alex Pereira wins the fight 
-In the lightweight co-main event bout between Justin Gaethje and Rafael Fiziev, Rafael Fiziev wins the fight 
-In the women’s strawweight bout between Amanda Lemos and Iasmin Lucindo, Iasmin Lucindo wins the fight 
-In the lightweight bout between Jalin Turner and Ignacio Bahamondes, Jalin Turner wins the fight 

Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". 

If a relevant fight is canceled or postponed beyond March 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Matty's UFC 313 Money Line Parlay

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter.

If the listed fighter wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Merab Dvalishvili win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter?

This market refers to the outcome of the fight between Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua scheduled for December 19, 2025 at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the fight ends in the listed round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the fight ends between rounds, it will be considered to have ended in the final completed round. For instance, if there is a corner stoppage between rounds 7 and 8, the market for the fight ending in round 7 will resolve to "Yes".

If this fight is ruled a no contest, canceled, or postponed after January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be the official scoring of the fight, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Will the fight go the distance?

Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua are scheduled to compete in a boxing match on December 19, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of cumulative knockdowns in the boxing match between Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua is equal to the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the fight is ruled a no contest or the fight is cancelled or delayed beyond January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the fight organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will there be 1 knockdown during Paul vs Joshua?

This market refers to the bout between Damien Davila and Gabriel Mendez, scheduled for November 21, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Davila" if Damien Davila is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Mendez" if Gabriel Mendez is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 28, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Davila vs Mendez

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua fight each other in a publicly scheduled bout before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Sanctioned bouts and publicly promoted exhibition bouts will both count. Private matches or sparring not intended for public viewing, however, will not count.

Only the actual occurrence of the fight counts; an announcement or scheduled bout without the fight taking place will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be publicly available broadcast or video of the event.

Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Maduro out
- US x Venezuela military engagement

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Maduro+Parlay.pdf

Venezuela Parlay

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk attends any official UFC match between August 15 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, sports event contracts listed by a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market (DCM), whether accessed directly or through a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), are legally prohibited or blocked for users in at least one U.S. state or nationwide. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying ban must have gone into effect during the market window and may occur through any of the following:

CFTC Action: A final order, rule, or directive under Regulation 40.11 or other CFTC authority that results in the removal or suspension of sports event contracts, either nationally or within one or more states.

Court Order or Judgment: A temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, permanent injunction, or final judgment issued by a U.S. federal or state court that has the effect of suspending or terminating user access to sports event contracts in one or more states or nationwide. This includes situations where a court denies an exchange’s claim of federal preemption and thereby allows a state to enforce its gambling laws against sports event contracts while adjudication is pending, leading to blocked access in that state.

State Enforcement Upheld by Courts: If a state action (such as a cease-and-desist order or regulatory enforcement) is challenged on preemption grounds and the court declines to enjoin the state, resulting in blocked access to sports event contracts in that state, this will qualify.

To resolve “Yes,” the block or ban must actually take effect (users lose access or ability to trade/maintain positions). Mere announcements, proposed rules, or pending litigation without effect do not qualify.

Voluntary pauses or withdrawals by a DCM or FCM, absent legal compulsion, do not qualify.

If a qualifying block takes effect and is implemented the market will still resolve “Yes” regardless if it is later stayed, reversed, or vacated. 

Actions ordered before the deadline but which take effect only after, will not qulaify. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Will sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state in 2025?

Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua are scheduled to compete in a professional boxing match on December 19, 2025.

If Jake Paul is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Jake Paul".

If Anthony Joshua is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Anthony Joshua".

If this fight is declared a draw, or if, for any reason, the match is not scored, ruled a No Contest, canceled, or postponed after January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Draw/Not Scored".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the fight organizers. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

This is a polymarket on whether Andrew Tate or Chase Demoor will win their upcoming boxing match, scheduled for December 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Tate" if Andrew Tate is declared the winner of this match.
This market will resolve to "Demoor" if Chase Demoor is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after January 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50–50.

The primary resolution source will be the official event broadcast and result. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 19, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Artificial Intelligence is named TIME's Person of 2025
- GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam
- AI wins IMO gold medal
- AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark
- AI scores ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If resolution-relevant information regarding the events mentioned above is not available by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If by that date there is still no clear information indicating that one of the listed events has occurred,  this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/AI2.png

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public
- Trump out as President
- Trump impeached
- Any Trump cabinet member out

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Trump-Epstein+Parlay.pdf

Trump-Epstein Parlay

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 24 of the league phase), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?

Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua are scheduled to compete in a professional boxing match on December 19, 2025.

If Jake Paul is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Paul".

If Anthony Joshua is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Joshua".

If this fight is declared a draw, or if, for any reason, the match is not scored, canceled, or postponed after January 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the fight organizers. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua

This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA.  (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).

FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 23, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Putin out as president of Russia
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Trump visits Russia
- Putin meets Zelensky
- Russia invades a NATO country

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/RU1.png 
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/RU2.png

Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Serie A standings for the 2025-26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Serie A standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Serie A tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025-26 Serie A season is cancelled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Ligue 1 tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Paris St-Germain finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione formally agrees to a plea bargain for any of his murder or terrorism charges by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As they stand on February 21, qualifying charges are:
Federal - Murder through use of a firearm
State - Murder in the first degree, murder in the second degree as a crime of terrorism, murder in the second degree

If all of these charges are dropped or dismissed, or otherwise changed to charges that involve neither murder, manslaughter, nor terrorism, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open to consider further retrials, only resolving once this market's resolution date has passed.

If a verdict is reached on all named charges, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is the ruling court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Luigi Mangione plea deal in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a judge declares a mistrial in either of Luigi Mangione's ongoing federal or state cases by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A mistrial only needs to be declared in one of Mangione's ongoing cases for this market to resolve to "Yes".

If all ongoing cases as of February 25, 2025 resolve without a mistrial being declared, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be information from the ruling courts in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Luigi Mangione mistrial?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 10, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Nuclear weapon detonated
- Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize
- Ukraine election called
- US-Russia nuclear deal
- Mass Gaza population relocation
- Ukraine agrees to give up the rest of Donbas

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/war1.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/war2.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/war3.png

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- US confirms that aliens exist
- Conclusive proof becomes public that the Earth is flat
- Trump says the Moon Landing was faked

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Conspiracy+Edition.pdf

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

This is a polymarket to predict which conference the team that wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship will be from.

If a team from the listed conference wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the College Football Playoff is canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA Football.

Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?

This polymarket will resolve to the player who wins the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player wins the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament per the official rules of the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Learner Tien win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament

This is a polymarket to predict if any NCAA Division I FBS football team will finish the 2025–26 season undefeated with a record of 15-0.

If at least one NCAA Division I FBS team officially finishes the season with a 15-0 record, this market will resolve to “Yes.” If no team does so, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the NCAA Division I FBS season or College Football Playoff are canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source will be the official NCAA and school athletics websites. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the La Liga standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the La Liga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official La Liga tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Barcelona finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.

The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. 

The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. 

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?     

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NFL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No".

If the listed team qualifies for the playoffs early, the market will resolve to "Yes". 
If the listed team is eliminated based on the rules of the competition, the market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will the Seattle Seahawks make the playoffs?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Monad launches a token
- MetaMask launches a token
- Lighter launches a token
- Opensea launches a token
- Meteora launches a token

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the above-specified projects do not launch a token during this market’s above-specified time frame.

For a qualifying launch, the token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the respective projects; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Token Launch Party Parlay

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note: reaching the Play-In Tournament will not qualify as making the Playoffs. To make the NBA Playoffs, a team must earn one of the 16 spots in the postseason bracket.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to make the Playoffs based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from reaching the Play-In), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.

Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the listed division during the 2025-26 NHL regular season.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win its division (e.g., mathematical elimination before season end), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Matty's UFC 313 Money Line Parlay

Market Context

Matty's UFC 313 Money Line Parlay

Rules

Matty's UFC 313 Money Line Parlay

Market Context

Matty's UFC 313 Money Line Parlay

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