Name: Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?
Start: 2024-11-16T05:09:05.124874Z
End: 2024-11-23T12:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence emerges by November 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET that the outcome of the fight between Jake Paul and Mike Tyson was rigged. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting from major news outlets.


Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?

Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua are scheduled to compete in a boxing match on December 19, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of cumulative knockdowns in the boxing match between Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua is equal to the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the fight is ruled a no contest or the fight is cancelled or delayed beyond January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the fight organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will there be 1 knockdown during Paul vs Joshua?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua fight each other in a publicly scheduled bout before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Sanctioned bouts and publicly promoted exhibition bouts will both count. Private matches or sparring not intended for public viewing, however, will not count.

Only the actual occurrence of the fight counts; an announcement or scheduled bout without the fight taking place will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be publicly available broadcast or video of the event.

Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?

This market refers to the outcome of the fight between Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua scheduled for December 19, 2025 at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the fight ends in the listed round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the fight ends between rounds, it will be considered to have ended in the final completed round. For instance, if there is a corner stoppage between rounds 7 and 8, the market for the fight ending in round 7 will resolve to "Yes".

If this fight is ruled a no contest, canceled, or postponed after January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be the official scoring of the fight, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Will the fight end in Round 1?

Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua are scheduled to compete in a professional boxing match on December 19, 2025.

If Jake Paul is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Jake Paul".

If Anthony Joshua is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Anthony Joshua".

If this fight is declared a draw, or if, for any reason, the match is not scored, ruled a No Contest, canceled, or postponed after January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Draw/Not Scored".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the fight organizers. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Jake Paul and Anthony Joshua are scheduled to compete in a professional boxing match on December 19, 2025.

If Jake Paul is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Paul".

If Anthony Joshua is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to "Joshua".

If this fight is declared a draw, or if, for any reason, the match is not scored, canceled, or postponed after January 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the fight organizers. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Joshua wins the fight by KO/TKO/DQ. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no winner is announced or the fight is cancelled or delayed beyond January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the fight organizers; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter.

If the listed fighter wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Merab Dvalishvili win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, definitive evidence is made public confirming that the US government orchestrated or was directly involved in the September 11, 2001 attacks. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be publicly released information from the U.S. government.


Was 9/11 an inside job?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the the incident on August 10, 2019, involving Jeffrey Epstein involved foul play is released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements from the U.S. government indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any US government agency, law enforcement agencies, and courts, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?

This is a polymarket on the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Nick Kyrgios in the Garden Cup, scheduled for December 8 at 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden.

This market will resolve to 'Paul' if Tommy Paul wins the match.

This market will resolve to 'Kyrgios' if Nick Kyrgios wins the match.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, postponed after December 14, or there is otherwise no winner determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the live broadcast of this event; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Garden Cup: Tommy Paul vs. Nick Kyrgios

This is a polymarket on whether Andrew Tate or Chase Demoor will win their upcoming boxing match, scheduled for December 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Tate" if Andrew Tate is declared the winner of this match.
This market will resolve to "Demoor" if Chase Demoor is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after January 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50–50.

The primary resolution source will be the official event broadcast and result. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Bessent hits any individual between September 8, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No.

A “hit” means a physical strike such as a punch or slap that makes contact. Shoves, pushes, grabs, or other non-striking altercations do not count.

The incident must both occur and be confirmed by the end date. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a guest on any "The Joe Rogan Experience" podcast episode between December 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a consensus of credible reporting confirms Elon Musk recorded an episode with Rogan before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when/if it is released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Spotify and/or Youtube, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that Jeff Epstein, the New York financier, is still alive between July 13 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.


Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that former presidential candidate John McAfee is still alive between January 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Is John McAfee alive?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Skye Valadez is the individual responsible for the shooting of Charlie Kirk by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A “Yes” resolution requires one of the following:
- Formal arrest or charging of Skye Valadez by a recognized law enforcement agency in direct connection with the shooting
- Official statements by law enforcement naming him as the shooter or primary suspect
- An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming him as the shooter or primary suspect. 

Any of the above will independently qualify, conviction is not required to resolve this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Skye Valadez confirmed perp?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if social media personality and former professional kickboxer Andrew Tate is found guilty in any jurisdiction of any country of any charge related to sex/human trafficking between January 1 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?

If a Bitcoin hard fork occurs between July 7 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Bitcoin hard fork before 2026?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best MLB Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best MLB Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best MLB Player?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Saquon Barkley win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

Events that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Is Earth flat?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new episode of the Up Only podcast is publicly released to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Released previews of the interview won't count - the full interview must be released by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the interview and/or a consensus of credible reporting.


Up Only podcast released by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is interviewed by Tucker Carlson between November 17, 2025 and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interview is defined as a scheduled, recorded conversation where Donald Trump answers questions posed by Tucker Carlson. Press conferences or media briefings held by the White House with Carlson in attendance will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a credible consensus of reporting that Donald Trump has recorded an interview with Tucker Carlson before February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, even if that interview is not yet released.

The resolution source for this market will be publicly available video footage of the interview; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tucker Carlson interview Trump by February 28?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly claims that any of the moon landings were faked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The claim must come directly from Trump via a verified social media account, official public statement, or during a recorded interview, speech, or rally. Indirect remarks, jokes, or quotes taken out of context will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used to confirm the legitimacy of such statements.

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


French election called by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky are photographed or videotaped together, in the same frame, between August 6, 5:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing.

The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky together.

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?

This market refers to the bout between Damien Davila and Gabriel Mendez, scheduled for November 21, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Davila" if Damien Davila is declared the winner of this match.

This market will resolve to "Mendez" if Gabriel Mendez is declared the winner of this match.

If the fight is declared a draw or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after November 28, 2025, or cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results of the competition.

Davila vs Mendez

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk attends any official UFC match between August 15 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Kimmel is no longer host of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" for any length of time between September 18, and  December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Jimmy Kimmel's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If ABC or its parent company announces "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" is cancelled within timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Jimmy Kimmel and/or ABC, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Jimmy Kimmel cancelled by December 31?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- US confirms that aliens exist
- Conclusive proof becomes public that the Earth is flat
- Trump says the Moon Landing was faked

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Nothing+Ever+Happens+Conspiracy+Edition.pdf

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Tennis Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Tennis Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Tennis Player?

This polymarket will resolve to the team that wins the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed pair wins the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this pair to win the tournament per the official rules of the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Harri Heliovaara and Henry Patten win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a real-money trade is publicly placed on a regulated, Polymarket-operated Designated Contract Market (DCM) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Donald Trump is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.

Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.

Unsubstantiated claims made by Trump will not alone qualify. 

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from Donald Trump.

Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public
- Trump out as President
- Trump impeached
- Any Trump cabinet member out

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Trump-Epstein+Parlay.pdf

Trump-Epstein Parlay

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 23, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Putin out as president of Russia
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Trump visits Russia
- Putin meets Zelensky
- Russia invades a NATO country

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/RU1.png 
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/RU2.png

Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NHL Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NHL Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Leon Draisaitl win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NHL Player?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 10, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- MrBeast hits 500 million subscribers
- Trump meets MrBeast in 2025
- Another MrBeast video gets 55m+ day 1 views 

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mrbeast.png

Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is confined in a jail or prison for any length of time by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

House arrest will not qualify toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the detaining government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy in jail by December 31?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Golfer.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Golfer, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Golfer?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, sports event contracts listed by a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market (DCM), whether accessed directly or through a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), are legally prohibited or blocked for users in at least one U.S. state or nationwide. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying ban must have gone into effect during the market window and may occur through any of the following:

CFTC Action: A final order, rule, or directive under Regulation 40.11 or other CFTC authority that results in the removal or suspension of sports event contracts, either nationally or within one or more states.

Court Order or Judgment: A temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, permanent injunction, or final judgment issued by a U.S. federal or state court that has the effect of suspending or terminating user access to sports event contracts in one or more states or nationwide. This includes situations where a court denies an exchange’s claim of federal preemption and thereby allows a state to enforce its gambling laws against sports event contracts while adjudication is pending, leading to blocked access in that state.

State Enforcement Upheld by Courts: If a state action (such as a cease-and-desist order or regulatory enforcement) is challenged on preemption grounds and the court declines to enjoin the state, resulting in blocked access to sports event contracts in that state, this will qualify.

To resolve “Yes,” the block or ban must actually take effect (users lose access or ability to trade/maintain positions). Mere announcements, proposed rules, or pending litigation without effect do not qualify.

Voluntary pauses or withdrawals by a DCM or FCM, absent legal compulsion, do not qualify.

If a qualifying block takes effect and is implemented the market will still resolve “Yes” regardless if it is later stayed, reversed, or vacated. 

Actions ordered before the deadline but which take effect only after, will not qulaify. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Will sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) announces that it has acquired more Bitcoin between July 24 11:00 ET, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?

Market Context

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?

Rules

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?

Market Context

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?

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