Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
$3,665,552 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
$581,275 Vol.
6%
December 31
$581,275 Vol.
6%
March 31, 2026
$32,063 Vol.
26%
March 31, 2026
$32,063 Vol.
26%
Rules
On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Oct 29, 2025, 2:25 AM
Volume
$3,665,552End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Oct 29, 2025, 2:25 AMResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$3,665,552 Vol.
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
$581,275 Vol.
6%
March 31, 2026
$32,063 Vol.
26%
About
Volume
$3,665,552End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Oct 29, 2025, 2:25 AMResolver
0x65070BE91...



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