Name: How many attempts for Kai and Speed to beat Fortnite?
Start: 2024-12-28T19:47:07.639474Z
End: 2024-12-29T12:00:00Z

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This is a market group over the number of attempts it takes for Kai and Speed to beat their Fortnite challenge.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make less than 100 Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether.

If the counter reaches higher than this market's upper bound, the market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 250+ bracket.

<100

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make between 100 (inclusive) and 124 (inclusive) Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether.

If the counter reaches higher than this market's upper bound, the market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 250+ bracket.

100-124

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make between 125 (inclusive) and 149 (inclusive) Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether.

If the counter reaches higher than this market's upper bound, the market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 250+ bracket.

125-149

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make between 150 (inclusive) and 174 (inclusive) Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether.

If the counter reaches higher than this market's upper bound, the market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 250+ bracket.

150-174

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make between 175 (inclusive) and 199 (inclusive) Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether.

If the counter reaches higher than this market's upper bound, the market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 250+ bracket.

175-199

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make between 200 (inclusive) and 224 (inclusive) Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether.

If the counter reaches higher than this market's upper bound, the market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 250+ bracket.

200-224

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make between 225 (inclusive) and 249 (inclusive) Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether.

If the counter reaches higher than this market's upper bound, the market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 250+ bracket.

225-249

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai make 250 or more Fortnite attempts by the end of their Fortnite "Playing Fortnite Until we get a Win⛏️ ft. Kai Cenat" challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve once Speed/Kai complete the challenge, or otherwise abandon the challenge altogether.

The resolution source is the counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after January 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" for the 250+ bracket.

250+

How many attempts for Kai and Speed to beat Fortnite?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if xQc breaks Forsen's In-Game-Time of 15:28:130 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for xQc to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe.

For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated.

For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by xQc or where xQc is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be xQc's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/xqc); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Akave Esports Black" if Akave Esports Black win against KRÜ Blaze in the named Valorant match.

This market will resolve to "KRÜ Blaze" if KRÜ Blaze win against Akave Esports Black in the Valorant match.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from liquipedia: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Main_Page

Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any weekly bar in the Kaito “Mindshare over time (L12M)” chart reaches a new all-time high at any point between November 19 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. If no new all-time high occurs, the market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is the creator’s page on Kaito. The weekly bar chart can be viewed by clicking the creator’s name at: https://yaps.kaito.ai/ct-leaderboard

A weekly bar counts as long as its date range includes the target date. A weekly bar is considered finalized once a bar for the following week is published.

Only the weekly values shown in the L12M chart are used for resolution.

If the Kaito page is temporarily unavailable at resolution time, the market will remain open until it returns. If it becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve to “No.”

Proph3T mindshare all time high by March 31?

This market will resolve to the listed participant with the highest PnL at the end of the Defi App trading competition starting on November 10, 2025.

The resolution source will be the Defi App Leaderboard on https://app.defi.app/contest.

If two or more participants are tied for the highest PnL at the time of resolution, the market will resolve to the participant whose display name appears first in alphabetical order on the official Defi App leaderboard.

If the competition is not completed or the official leaderboard is unavailable, the market will remain open until reliable data is published by Defi App. If no such data becomes available by January 31, 2026 ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

Note: The official competition includes a large number of participants, however this market will resolve solely based on the listed group of KOL participants. Traders who are not eligible KOLs will not be considered. An eligible KOL will be considered to have won if they are the top trader out of eligible KOLs, regardless of if one of the non-KOL participants finishes ahead of them.

Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship, currently scheduled for October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player is eliminated from the championship under the tournament's official rules, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies.

If the winner is not announced by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets over 100 million views in the first 7 days after being posted between this market's creation and January 31, 2026, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Videos posted within the final 7 days of this market's resolution date will qualify, and this market will remain open to allow for the full 7 days to be completed.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast’s posted YouTube videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced videos will not be considered.

Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by January 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if GPT-5 achieves a score of 70% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX has between 160 (inclusive) and 179 (inclusive) launches in 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the FAA, specifically the number shown next to SpaceX when 2025 is selected here https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data.

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 10, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- MrBeast hits 500 million subscribers
- Trump meets MrBeast in 2025
- Another MrBeast video gets 55m+ day 1 views 

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mrbeast.png

How many attempts for Kai and Speed to beat Fortnite?

<100
$4,525 Vol.
No

100-124
$35,704 Vol.
No

125-149
$29,213 Vol.
No

150-174
$32,882 Vol.
No

175-199
$24,943 Vol.
No

200-224
$49,835 Vol.
Yes

225-249
$13,723 Vol.
No

250+
$66,794 Vol.
No

Market Context

How many attempts for Kai and Speed to beat Fortnite?

Rules

How many attempts for Kai and Speed to beat Fortnite?

Market Context

How many attempts for Kai and Speed to beat Fortnite?

About

Related

How many attempts for Kai and Speed to beat Fortnite?

<100$4,525 Vol.Nocircle xmark

100-124$35,704 Vol.Nocircle xmark

125-149$29,213 Vol.Nocircle xmark

150-174$32,882 Vol.Nocircle xmark

175-199$24,943 Vol.Nocircle xmark

200-224$49,835 Vol.Yescircle check

225-249$13,723 Vol.Nocircle xmark

250+$66,794 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

How many attempts for Kai and Speed to beat Fortnite?

Rules

How many attempts for Kai and Speed to beat Fortnite?

Market Context

How many attempts for Kai and Speed to beat Fortnite?

About

Related

<100
$4,525 Vol.
No

100-124
$35,704 Vol.
No

125-149
$29,213 Vol.
No

150-174
$32,882 Vol.
No

175-199
$24,943 Vol.
No

200-224
$49,835 Vol.
Yes

225-249
$13,723 Vol.
No

250+
$66,794 Vol.
No