MetService's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C for Wellington on April 3 under fine skies with northerlies becoming strong in the morning, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 39% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C at 27.5%. These northerly winds are expected to advect warmer air from lower latitudes, supporting mild autumn conditions slightly above the April climatological average of 17–18°C, while clear skies enhance diurnal heating. Recent observations show yesterday's high at 17.2°C, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF aligning on limited cloud cover and no precipitation risk. Uncertainties include northerly wind strength and coastal effects, with final observations resolving the market; monitor MetService updates through midday April 3 for potential shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
19°C 37%
20°C 27%
18°C 21%
21°C 13%
$47,394 Vol.
$47,394 Vol.
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
7%
18°C
21%
19°C
37%
20°C
27%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
2%
19°C 37%
20°C 27%
18°C 21%
21°C 13%
$47,394 Vol.
$47,394 Vol.
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
7%
18°C
21%
19°C
37%
20°C
27%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
MetService's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C for Wellington on April 3 under fine skies with northerlies becoming strong in the morning, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 39% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C at 27.5%. These northerly winds are expected to advect warmer air from lower latitudes, supporting mild autumn conditions slightly above the April climatological average of 17–18°C, while clear skies enhance diurnal heating. Recent observations show yesterday's high at 17.2°C, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF aligning on limited cloud cover and no precipitation risk. Uncertainties include northerly wind strength and coastal effects, with final observations resolving the market; monitor MetService updates through midday April 3 for potential shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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