Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued early April 1, projects a high of 5°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 2 under cloudy skies with morning showers and east winds at 20 km/h, potentially capping temperatures via marine cooling from Lake Ontario and precipitation shading. Yet trader consensus implies 65.5% odds for 6°C or higher, driven by GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads showing milder scenarios if showers dissipate early or frontal clearing allows brief insolation; 20.5% on exactly 5°C reflects the official guidance. This follows a recent spring teaser with double-digit highs through late March, elevating expectations above early-April climatological norms of 7–9°C. Watch afternoon model updates and hourly observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
6°C or higher 68%
5°C 21%
4°C 11%
3°C 3.1%
$24,551 Vol.
$24,551 Vol.
Apr 2, 2026
-4°C or below
<1%
-3°C
<1%
-2°C
<1%
-1°C
<1%
0°C
<1%
1°C
<1%
2°C
1%
3°C
3%
4°C
11%
5°C
21%
6°C or higher
68%
6°C or higher 68%
5°C 21%
4°C 11%
3°C 3.1%
$24,551 Vol.
$24,551 Vol.
Apr 2, 2026
-4°C or below
$6,617 Vol.
<1%
-3°C
$2,325 Vol.
<1%
-2°C
$1,975 Vol.
<1%
-1°C
$911 Vol.
<1%
0°C
$588 Vol.
<1%
1°C
$983 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$2,840 Vol.
1%
3°C
$1,151 Vol.
3%
4°C
$2,195 Vol.
11%
5°C
$1,155 Vol.
21%
6°C or higher
$4,097 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued early April 1, projects a high of 5°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 2 under cloudy skies with morning showers and east winds at 20 km/h, potentially capping temperatures via marine cooling from Lake Ontario and precipitation shading. Yet trader consensus implies 65.5% odds for 6°C or higher, driven by GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads showing milder scenarios if showers dissipate early or frontal clearing allows brief insolation; 20.5% on exactly 5°C reflects the official guidance. This follows a recent spring teaser with double-digit highs through late March, elevating expectations above early-April climatological norms of 7–9°C. Watch afternoon model updates and hourly observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Volume
$24,551End Date
Apr 2, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued early April 1, projects a high of 5°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 2 under cloudy skies with morning showers and east winds at 20 km/h, potentially capping temperatures via marine cooling from Lake Ontario and precipitation shading. Yet trader consensus implies 65.5% odds for 6°C or higher, driven by GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads showing milder scenarios if showers dissipate early or frontal clearing allows brief insolation; 20.5% on exactly 5°C reflects the official guidance. This follows a recent spring teaser with double-digit highs through late March, elevating expectations above early-April climatological norms of 7–9°C. Watch afternoon model updates and hourly observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,551End Date
Apr 2, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued early April 1, projects a high of 5°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 2 under cloudy skies with morning showers and east winds at 20 km/h, potentially capping temperatures via marine cooling from Lake Ontario and precipitation shading. Yet trader consensus implies 65.5% odds for 6°C or higher, driven by GFS and ECMWF ensemble spreads showing milder scenarios if showers dissipate early or frontal clearing allows brief insolation; 20.5% on exactly 5°C reflects the official guidance. This follows a recent spring teaser with double-digit highs through late March, elevating expectations above early-April climatological norms of 7–9°C. Watch afternoon model updates and hourly observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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