Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 82-83°F at 100% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on March 30, driven by finalized official observations from the National Weather Service-monitored Dallas Love Field station (KDAL), which recorded a daily maximum of 83°F via standard ASOS instrumentation. This aligns with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts of mid-80s peaks under a building high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and south-southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph enabling efficient diurnal heating from a mild overnight low near 65°F—well above the March climatological normal of 69°F amid NOAA's above-normal spring outlook. Scenarios challenging this include improbable post-finalization data revisions from Weather Underground historical records or discrepancies in quality-controlled NWS archives, though model runs and intraday reports peaking near 82-84°F reinforce the positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on March 30?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?
82-83°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$112,913 Vol.
$112,913 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$112,913 Vol.
$112,913 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 82-83°F at 100% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on March 30, driven by finalized official observations from the National Weather Service-monitored Dallas Love Field station (KDAL), which recorded a daily maximum of 83°F via standard ASOS instrumentation. This aligns with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts of mid-80s peaks under a building high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and south-southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph enabling efficient diurnal heating from a mild overnight low near 65°F—well above the March climatological normal of 69°F amid NOAA's above-normal spring outlook. Scenarios challenging this include improbable post-finalization data revisions from Weather Underground historical records or discrepancies in quality-controlled NWS archives, though model runs and intraday reports peaking near 82-84°F reinforce the positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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