Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain close above $360 for Alphabet's GOOGL shares on May 1, 2026, with the >$360 outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the stock's midday trading around $384—well above the threshold—following a 34% April surge, its strongest monthly gain since 2004. This positioning stems from Q1 earnings on April 25 that crushed estimates, with Google Cloud revenue and YouTube advertising materially outperforming amid robust AI-driven demand, plus Alphabet's inaugural dividend declaration and buyback expansion boosting shareholder value. With markets closing in hours and historical intraday volatility low relative to the $20+ buffer, downside risks like a broad tech selloff or unforeseen negative headlines would need extreme magnitude to breach $360.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated>$360 100.0%
<$315 <1%
$315-$320 <1%
$320-$325 <1%
$41,328 Vol.
$41,328 Vol.
<$315
No
$315-$320
No
$320-$325
No
$325-$330
No
$330-$335
No
$335-$340
No
$340-$345
No
$345-$350
No
$350-$355
No
$355-$360
No
>$360
Yes
>$360 100.0%
<$315 <1%
$315-$320 <1%
$320-$325 <1%
$41,328 Vol.
$41,328 Vol.
<$315
No
$315-$320
No
$320-$325
No
$325-$330
No
$330-$335
No
$335-$340
No
$340-$345
No
$345-$350
No
$350-$355
No
$355-$360
No
>$360
Yes
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain close above $360 for Alphabet's GOOGL shares on May 1, 2026, with the >$360 outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting the stock's midday trading around $384—well above the threshold—following a 34% April surge, its strongest monthly gain since 2004. This positioning stems from Q1 earnings on April 25 that crushed estimates, with Google Cloud revenue and YouTube advertising materially outperforming amid robust AI-driven demand, plus Alphabet's inaugural dividend declaration and buyback expansion boosting shareholder value. With markets closing in hours and historical intraday volatility low relative to the $20+ buffer, downside risks like a broad tech selloff or unforeseen negative headlines would need extreme magnitude to breach $360.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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