Name: Eurovision Winner?
Start: 2024-02-21T00:31:00Z
End: 2024-05-10T12:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Ukraine

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Italian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Italy

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Israel

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Croatian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Croatia

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Irish candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Ireland

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Icelandic candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Iceland

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Georgian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Georgia

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Finnish candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Finland 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Lithuanian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Lithuania

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

France

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Swedish candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Sweden

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

United Kingdom

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Norwegian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Norway

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Belgian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Belgium

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Swiss candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Switzerland

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Australian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Australia

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Polish candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Poland

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Armenian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Armenia

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Austrian candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Austria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Greek candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Greece

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Spanish candidate for Eurovision 2024 wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it can be definitively determined that it is impossible for this candidate to win Eurovision 2024, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Spain

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate from a country not listed in this market group but participating in Eurovision 2024 wins that contest. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This is the list of countries previously referred to: Ukraine, Italy, Croatia, Israel, Sweden, United Kingdom, Belgium, Iceland, Norway, Lithuania, Ireland, Finland, France, Switzerland, Georgia, Austria, Greece, Australia, Armenia, Poland, Spain.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If two or more countries tie to win Eurovision 2024, this market will resolve to the country who comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2024, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Other

Eurovision Winner?

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel is officially banned from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement of a qualifying ban within the specified timeframe will suffice, regardless of when it takes effect or whether it is later revoked.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by December 31?

Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the DreamLeague Season 27.

If the DreamLeague Season 27 is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the DreamLeague organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Team Yandex win DreamLeague 27?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed team will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. 

In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).

Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election. 

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

The HLTV awards are scheduled to be held on January 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Player of the Year award. 

If for any reason no winner is declared by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Mathieu "ZywOo" Herbaut win the HLTV Player of the Year award?

The HLTV awards are scheduled to be held on January 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the skin that wins the Skin of the Year award. 

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If multiple skins are declared winners, this market will resolve to the skin whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from HLTV; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will M4A4 | Full Throttle win the HLTV Skin of the Year award?

The 2025 FIDE World Blitz Championship chess tournament is scheduled for December 29-30, 2025 in Doha, Qatar.

This market will resolve to the listed player who wins the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship.

If a listed player is eliminated from this tournament, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the second-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. 

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

The HLTV awards are scheduled to be held on January 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Team of the Year award. 

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Vitality win the HLTV Team of the Year award?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs.

If the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portuguese election?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)


Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

The 2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship chess tournament is scheduled for December 26-28, 2025 in Doha, Qatar.

This market will resolve to the listed player who wins the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship.

If a listed player is eliminated from this tournament, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed song that comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary in early April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. 

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA’s official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed show that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Foreign Language Series. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated show whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Squid Game win Best Foreign Language Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed person that wins Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed track that comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Will Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed track that wins Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed track that comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.

Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. 

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament  in this election.

If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. 

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).

Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?

The winners of the Steam Awards for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on January 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the EU GDP growth rates over the same quarter of the previous year % change, based on seasonally adjusted data, in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2025" flash release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for January 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0 and 1.5%?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Song. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Golden - HUNTR/X win Best Song at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Israel between September 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.

Sanctions against Israeli citizens or entities which do not directly target the Israeli state or members of the Israeli government will not qualify.

The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Israel within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect.

Only the imposition of sanctions on Israel by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Israel (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Israel unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between February 3 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy in 2025?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 La Liga.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 La Liga. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 Bundesliga.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Bundesliga. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season.

If the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LPL league organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.

For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Foreign Language Film. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Foreign Language Film at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on January 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the first-round turnout percentage, calculated as “Total votantes” divided by “Total inscritos”

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by May 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.  

This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 44%?

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Elections for the autonomous community of Extremadura’s unicameral assembly are scheduled for December 21, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Assembly of Extremadura (Asamblea de Extremadura) as a result of this election.

If voting in the next election for the Assembly of Extremadura does not occur by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.

In the case of a tie between this party/coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party/coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

If a listed coalition splits into individual parties prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Assembly of Extremadura at the time of the split.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).

Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2025 Extremadura regional election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.

If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).

Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed album that comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Eurovision Winner?

Ukraine
$64,601 Vol.
No

Italy
$87,217 Vol.
No

Israel
$105,889 Vol.
No

Croatia
$149,720 Vol.
No

Ireland
$53,092 Vol.
No

Iceland
$49,433 Vol.
No

Georgia
$16,352 Vol.
No

Finland
$22,602 Vol.
No

Lithuania
$34,373 Vol.
No

France
$82,899 Vol.
No

Sweden
$24,514 Vol.
No

United Kingdom
$31,694 Vol.
No

Norway
$13,194 Vol.
No

Belgium
$32,628 Vol.
No

Switzerland
$162,711 Vol.
Yes

Australia
$27,442 Vol.
No

Poland
$19,421 Vol.
No

Armenia
$18,563 Vol.
No

Austria
$13,803 Vol.
No

Greece
$57,764 Vol.
No

Spain
$17,569 Vol.
No

Other
$97,780 Vol.
No

Market Context

Eurovision Winner?

Rules

Eurovision Winner?

Market Context

Eurovision Winner?

About

Related

Eurovision Winner?

Ukraine$64,601 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Italy$87,217 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Israel$105,889 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Croatia$149,720 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Ireland$53,092 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Iceland$49,433 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Georgia$16,352 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Finland $22,602 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lithuania$34,373 Vol.Nocircle xmark

France$82,899 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Sweden$24,514 Vol.Nocircle xmark

United Kingdom$31,694 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Norway$13,194 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Belgium$32,628 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Switzerland$162,711 Vol.Yescircle check

Australia$27,442 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Poland$19,421 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Armenia$18,563 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Austria$13,803 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Greece$57,764 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Spain$17,569 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Other$97,780 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Eurovision Winner?

Rules

Eurovision Winner?

Market Context

Eurovision Winner?

About

Related

Ukraine
$64,601 Vol.
No

Italy
$87,217 Vol.
No

Israel
$105,889 Vol.
No

Croatia
$149,720 Vol.
No

Ireland
$53,092 Vol.
No

Iceland
$49,433 Vol.
No

Georgia
$16,352 Vol.
No

Finland
$22,602 Vol.
No

Lithuania
$34,373 Vol.
No

France
$82,899 Vol.
No

Sweden
$24,514 Vol.
No

United Kingdom
$31,694 Vol.
No

Norway
$13,194 Vol.
No

Belgium
$32,628 Vol.
No

Switzerland
$162,711 Vol.
Yes

Australia
$27,442 Vol.
No

Poland
$19,421 Vol.
No

Armenia
$18,563 Vol.
No

Austria
$13,803 Vol.
No

Greece
$57,764 Vol.
No

Spain
$17,569 Vol.
No

Other
$97,780 Vol.
No