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Flight predictions & odds

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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

51

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

33

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

83%

50

$18.3K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above __?

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above __?

94%

$1.50B

$4.3K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$145K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

10

Number of TSA passengers May 18 - May 24?

Number of TSA passengers May 18 - May 24?

27%

18.5-19m

$200 Vol.

$466 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

54%

June 30

$16M Vol.

$903K today

$443K Liq.

728

Ends in 14 days

Number of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?

Number of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?

73%

17.5-18m

$1.1K Vol.

$254 Liq.

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

Number of TSA passengers January 2?

2.5-2.75m

$15.5K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

47%

June 30

$883K Vol.

$44.2K Liq.

49

Ends in 14 days

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

8%

↓ 2 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

15%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

265

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

92%

↑ $3.00

$195K Vol.

$125K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

2%

$3.7K Vol.

$43.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise - More Markets

FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise - More Markets

-

$952K Vol.

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

1%

$220K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 month

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$715

$1.9K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

77%

$200M

$394K Vol.

$77.0K Liq.

17

Ends in over 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Flight.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Flight that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump goes to space in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 54% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Flight predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.