Market icon

Elon Musk # of tweets January 10-17?

$7,422,833 Vol.

Jan 17, 2025

400-449 99.7%

450-499 <1%

650-699 <1%

500-549 <1%

0%20%40%60%80%100%

Source: Polymarket.com

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

RESULT

Rules

If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts less than 400 times on X between January 10, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Volume

$7,422,833

End Date

Jan 17, 2025

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Comments
Top Holders
Activity
Related

Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

Mattrick

10m ago

Easy money

He definitely changed the twitting behaviour and the pace is dropping and dropping. Finger crossed for u300 :)

TheRedChip

TheRedChip

25m ago

@alex-sandr11

i hope so bro, i dont think its going to hit but its definitely a good value bet imo

ThatsMyPurse

current+quartiles @ 284 /pace 372 /min 353 /1q 383 /median 404 /3q 438 /max 491 /range 138.2 /remaining 39:50:12

Pockelt

4h ago

Why do people care about this embarrassing loser

@Pockelt

Why do we care about anything really

GuyWhoTrades

@Pockelt

People think having money means you're a very special person. Which he is, just not in a good way.

at what times does he post? Anyone know that?

liliuminvestment

@CanIHave1Dol...

Mostly throughout the whole day, he sleeps about 6h sometime in AMs ET, but when he is awake he posts whenever he feels like it.

Gridle

Gridle

4h ago

@CanIHave1Dol...

If anyone knew they would be rich

RaphBot

5h ago

Very weird week on this market

xx7x

6h ago

What is he doing, im cooked as always

TheStoicTrader

does someone remember why he post in X on no more than 350 end of January and Beginning of February?

TheStoicTrader

@TheStoicTrad...

Because Trump uptake as President?

it would be so funny if he will stay under 324 :D the only brackets I left

T020

8h ago

Its only Wednesday boys. One K bump away from 400+ lol

ryansen

9h ago

market is priced in too high

liliuminvestment

I'm actually more scared that he will fall short than overshoot, didn't think I'd come to these thoughts when I bought my shares at 5c

TheRedChip

TheRedChip

10h ago

U400 is getting stale now, im riding the U300 bus now

ThatsMyPurse

@TheRedChip

I want to see that 40k hit bru🙏

liliuminvestment

For all U400 haters look at us now

ThatsMyPurse

current+quartiles @ 282 /pace 391 /min 362 /1q 398 /median 423 /3q 463 /max 525 /range 162.3 /remaining 46:45:29

BLACKKING

10h ago

reading comments of newcomers thinking u400 has a chance is hilarious

@BLACKKING

this is not gonna age well

dannyboy16

10h ago

What we thinking guys? 400+?

@dannyboy16

400-424 is possible, that's for sure. But 375-399 is also possible, if he stays modest with twitting.

Fr u 400 will win

liliuminvestment

U400 FTW

350 shouldnt be so low

Phenx

13h ago

Damn this week's market is wiser that the previous by a large margin

casss

casss

12h ago

@Phenx

disagree

Phenx

11h ago

@casss

Suit yourself

vamnizar

14h ago

damn benny32 has negative pnl. what a dark day for this market

Spamelinda

Spamelinda

11h ago

@vamnizar

The guy is a fkn moron

BLACKKING

14h ago

@onafets glad you finally realized its not going to be under 400 as i told you

onafets

onafets

14h ago

today is liberation day... i wonder when america will be liberated from trump and musk

Pace is 399, that's interesting :)

casss

casss

15h ago

i miss the old kanye

liliuminvestment

@casss

thought of this one hahah

benny32

benny32

16h ago

i miss the old elon so much, not gonna lie.

mazadealer

mazadealer

15h ago

@benny32

why bro?

benny32

benny32

16h ago

okay guys, next week im gonna change my financial strategies. betting on high numbers doesn't make sense anymore since elon is decreasing his ketamine doses. told you guys.

Spamelinda

Spamelinda

15h ago

@benny32

U fkn moron u are way late to that party. Idiot.

oh.

18h ago

Do NOT move the ods, he did not sleep yet, now he will need 6h to sleep, so expect 0 tweets in the next 6 hours....

liliuminvestment

When does this man sleep?😅

xx7x

18h ago

Finally i will win. My girl wont leave me after all

GuyWhoTrades

@xx7x

Didn't realize your right hand was a girl, nice.

Exertoh

Exertoh

19h ago

@ElonSpam, feel free to fill my 31c order on 425-449 if you are that confident ;)

liliuminvestment

400-424 & 425-449 seems to me a little overpriced. I mean he has posted 275 times so far, and if he goes to sleep now he will land at an average of 55/day, pace 385. Remember that X-Tracker counts the days as normal days and not the 12pm-12pm that Polymarket does. Soon endgame good luck all.

shouldnt he be asleep? its like 2 am

ThatsMyPurse

current+quartiles @ 258 /pace 393 /min 357 /1q 401 /median 432 /3q 482 /max 558 /range 200.6 /remaining 57:48:32

TheRedChip

TheRedChip

21h ago

he is clearly awake, just not tweeting

onafets

onafets

21h ago

they lost in wisconsin, so musk will not tweet a lot... if they would have won he would have retweeted and bragged about it for days

TheRedChip

TheRedChip

24h ago

400-424 overpriced

onafets

onafets

21h ago

@TheRedChip

i disagree... i'm buying some

Spamelinda

Benny32 p&L is negative. What an absolute clown he is.

did he send out any april fools posts?

Outcome: No

<400