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Donald Trump tie color at the State of the Union?

Market icon

Donald Trump tie color at the State of the Union?

Red 100.0%

Blue <1%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$127,751 Vol.

Red 100.0%

Blue <1%

Other <1%

Polymarket

$127,751 Vol.

Blue

$43,946 Vol.

No

Red

$43,970 Vol.

Yes

Other

$39,836 Vol.

No

This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump at the 2026 State of the Union address, currently scheduled for February 24, 2026.

The color will be determined by the predominante dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg

Ties without a distinguishable predominant color,(e.g. https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg) will resolve to "Other".

If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by March 31, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$127,751
End Date
Feb 24, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 3:41 AM ET
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump at the 2026 State of the Union address, currently scheduled for February 24, 2026. The color will be determined by the predominante dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos of the event. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg Ties without a distinguishable predominant color,(e.g. https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg) will resolve to "Other". If Donald Trump does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, or if the event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by March 31, 2026, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Donald Trump tie color at the State of the Union?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Red" at 100%, followed by "Blue" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Donald Trump tie color at the State of the Union?" has generated $127.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Donald Trump tie color at the State of the Union?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Donald Trump tie color at the State of the Union?" is "Red" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Blue" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Donald Trump tie color at the State of the Union?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.