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Estado Da UniãO previsões e probabilidades

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Longest applause at State of the Union?

Longest applause at State of the Union?

-

$2.0K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

3%

$158K Vol.

$27.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

16%

$4.8K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 5 horas

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

10%

$17.8K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

9

Ends em 7 meses

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

84%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.5K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

18%

June 30

$164K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

10

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 1?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 1?

98%

$730

$3.1K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

68%

June 30

$27M Vol.

$1M today

$265K Liq.

520

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

2%

$157K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

14%

$1.7K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

2%

$18.7K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Zelenskyy # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

42%

80-99

$714 Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

72%

June 30

$20M Vol.

$2M today

$312K Liq.

270

What will Trump say this week? (May 31)

What will Trump say this week? (May 31)

75%

UFC

$34.6K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 5 horas

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

66%

$64.2K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

40%

$3M Vol.

$52.4K Liq.

18

Ends em 5 meses

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

1%

$393K Vol.

$76.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Zelenskyy # posts May 26 - June 2, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 26 - June 2, 2026?

48%

80-99

$6.5K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

8%

$855K Vol.

$115K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What will Trump post this week? (May 31)

What will Trump post this week? (May 31)

35%

Coast Guard

$18.1K Vol.

$943 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 5 horas

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Estado Da UniãO.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Estado Da UniãO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Longest applause at State of the Union?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $52.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 68% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Estado Da UniãO predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.