Harry Kane's commanding 13-goal lead with 31 tallies after 27 matchdays in the 2025-26 Bundesliga season underpins his 98.3% implied probability as top goalscorer, as trader consensus reflects an uncatchable margin over VfB Stuttgart's Deniz Undav (18 goals). Kane extended the gap in Bayern Munich's 4-0 rout of Union Berlin on March 21 (matchday 27), capping 11 goals across his last 10 appearances amid Bayern's table-dominating 70 points and +72 goal difference. No injury concerns disrupt his rhythm, with seven matchdays remaining insufficient for challengers like Serhou Guirassy (13 goals, Borussia Dortmund) to close via realistic scoring rates. Only a severe, prolonged Kane absence—paired with multiple hat-tricks from pursuers—could shift the race, a remote scenario given Bayern's fixture control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHarry Kane 98.3%
Deniz Undav <1%
Andrej Kramaric <1%
Mohammed Amoura <1%
$180,021 Vol.
$180,021 Vol.
Harry Kane
98%
Deniz Undav
1%
Andrej Kramaric
<1%
Mohammed Amoura
<1%
Ermedin Demirovic
<1%
Karim Adeyemi
<1%
Serhou Guirassy
<1%
Patrik Schick
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jonathan Burkardt
<1%
Lois Openda
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Victor Boniface
<1%
Nick Woltemade
<1%
Jamal Musiala
<1%
Maximilian Beier
<1%
Tim Kleindienst
<1%
Michy Batshuayi
<1%
Robert Glatzel
<1%
Jonas Wind
<1%
Yussuf Poulsen
<1%
Harry Kane 98.3%
Deniz Undav <1%
Andrej Kramaric <1%
Mohammed Amoura <1%
$180,021 Vol.
$180,021 Vol.
Harry Kane
98%
Deniz Undav
1%
Andrej Kramaric
<1%
Mohammed Amoura
<1%
Ermedin Demirovic
<1%
Karim Adeyemi
<1%
Serhou Guirassy
<1%
Patrik Schick
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jonathan Burkardt
<1%
Lois Openda
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Victor Boniface
<1%
Nick Woltemade
<1%
Jamal Musiala
<1%
Maximilian Beier
<1%
Tim Kleindienst
<1%
Michy Batshuayi
<1%
Robert Glatzel
<1%
Jonas Wind
<1%
Yussuf Poulsen
<1%
If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Goals scored in Bundesliga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., DFB-Pokal, German Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.
If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2025, 4:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Goals scored in Bundesliga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., DFB-Pokal, German Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.
If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane's commanding 13-goal lead with 31 tallies after 27 matchdays in the 2025-26 Bundesliga season underpins his 98.3% implied probability as top goalscorer, as trader consensus reflects an uncatchable margin over VfB Stuttgart's Deniz Undav (18 goals). Kane extended the gap in Bayern Munich's 4-0 rout of Union Berlin on March 21 (matchday 27), capping 11 goals across his last 10 appearances amid Bayern's table-dominating 70 points and +72 goal difference. No injury concerns disrupt his rhythm, with seven matchdays remaining insufficient for challengers like Serhou Guirassy (13 goals, Borussia Dortmund) to close via realistic scoring rates. Only a severe, prolonged Kane absence—paired with multiple hat-tricks from pursuers—could shift the race, a remote scenario given Bayern's fixture control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions