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Serie A - Top Goalscorer

icon for Serie A - Top Goalscorer

Serie A - Top Goalscorer

Lautaro Martinez 96.4%

Riccardo Orsolini <1%

Mehdi Taremi <1%

Marcus Thuram <1%

Polymarket

$96,045 Vol.

Lautaro Martinez 96.4%

Riccardo Orsolini <1%

Mehdi Taremi <1%

Marcus Thuram <1%

Polymarket

$96,045 Vol.

Lautaro Martinez

$20,590 Vol.

96%

Riccardo Orsolini

$3,209 Vol.

1%

Mehdi Taremi

$2,466 Vol.

1%

Marcus Thuram

$3,535 Vol.

1%

Assane Diao

$2,054 Vol.

<1%

Lorenzo Lucca

$1,994 Vol.

<1%

Valentin Castellanos

$5,615 Vol.

<1%

Jonathan David

$2,398 Vol.

<1%

Moise Kean

$2,313 Vol.

<1%

Santiago Gimenez

$2,710 Vol.

<1%

Christian Pulisic

$3,117 Vol.

<1%

Dusan Vlahovic

$2,370 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Leao

$2,756 Vol.

<1%

Ciro Immobile

$2,808 Vol.

<1%

Andrea Pinamonti

$2,418 Vol.

<1%

Artem Dovbyk

$7,364 Vol.

<1%

Kenan Yildiz

$2,834 Vol.

<1%

Edin Dzeko

$4,999 Vol.

<1%

Gianluca Scamacca

$2,408 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Dybala

$1,754 Vol.

<1%

Ademola Lookman

$2,794 Vol.

<1%

Evan Ferguson

$5,301 Vol.

<1%

Romelu Lukaku

$1,894 Vol.

<1%

Kevin De Bruyne

$2,389 Vol.

<1%

Francesco Camarda

$1,779 Vol.

<1%

Santiago Castro

$2,177 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Only goals scored in Serie A matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coppa Italia, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lautaro Martínez's dominant 96.4% implied probability in the Serie A Capocannoniere race stems from his commanding lead with 16 goals after 33 matchdays, four clear of challengers like teammate Marcus Thuram (13), Nico Paz, and Anastasios Douvikas (both 12) in a notably low-scoring season. Inter Milan's recent Scudetto clinch—secured by early May—has solidified his central role as captain and talisman, with consistent finishing powering trader consensus despite potential rotation risks in the final five fixtures. Realistic challenges include a late injury sidelining Martínez or an explosive run from pursuers like Thuram exploiting Inter's title celebrations and minute management, though the gap and form make an upset improbable.

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Only goals scored in Serie A matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coppa Italia, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$96,045
End Date
May 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2025, 10:21 PM ET
This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Only goals scored in Serie A matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coppa Italia, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Only goals scored in Serie A matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coppa Italia, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lautaro Martínez's dominant 96.4% implied probability in the Serie A Capocannoniere race stems from his commanding lead with 16 goals after 33 matchdays, four clear of challengers like teammate Marcus Thuram (13), Nico Paz, and Anastasios Douvikas (both 12) in a notably low-scoring season. Inter Milan's recent Scudetto clinch—secured by early May—has solidified his central role as captain and talisman, with consistent finishing powering trader consensus despite potential rotation risks in the final five fixtures. Realistic challenges include a late injury sidelining Martínez or an explosive run from pursuers like Thuram exploiting Inter's title celebrations and minute management, though the gap and form make an upset improbable.

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Only goals scored in Serie A matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coppa Italia, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$96,045
End Date
May 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 21, 2025, 10:21 PM ET
This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Only goals scored in Serie A matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coppa Italia, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Serie A - Top Goalscorer " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lautaro Martinez" at 96%, followed by "Riccardo Orsolini" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Serie A - Top Goalscorer " has generated $96K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Serie A - Top Goalscorer ," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Serie A - Top Goalscorer " is "Lautaro Martinez" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Riccardo Orsolini" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Serie A - Top Goalscorer " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.