Name: Bundesliga - Top 4 Finish
Start: 2025-08-27T19:48:57.332979Z
End: 2026-05-28T00:00:00Z

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This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Bundesliga tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Leverkusen

Eintracht Frankfurt

RB Leipzig

Mainz

VfL Wolfsburg

Hoffenheim

FC Koln

Hamburger SV

St Pauli

Bayern Munich

Dortmund

Stuttgart

Freiburg

Mgladbach

Werder Bremen

Union Berlin

FC Augsburg

FC Heidenheim

Bundesliga - Top 4 Finish 

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Ligue 1 tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Serie A standings for the 2025-26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Serie A standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Serie A tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025-26 Serie A season is cancelled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the La Liga standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the La Liga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official La Liga tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Barcelona finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official English Premier League tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Goals scored in Bundesliga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., DFB-Pokal, German Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by Ligue 1 following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Metz be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 Bundesliga.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Bundesliga. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA’s official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 24 of the league phase), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Serie A after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by Serie A following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Verona be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by La Liga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Oviedo be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by the English Premier League following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

This market will resolve according to the listed team that is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Turkish Süper Lig.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before the end of the season), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 Süper Lig season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Turkish Football Federation (https://www.tff.org/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Only goals scored in Ligue 1 matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coupe de France, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Serie A season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Only goals scored in Serie A matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coppa Italia, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Andrea Pinamonti be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

This is a market to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football Big Ten Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football Big Ten Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 NCAA Football Big Ten Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Ohio State win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Goals scored in La Liga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., Copa del Rey, Spanish Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NFL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No".

If the listed team qualifies for the playoffs early, the market will resolve to "Yes". 
If the listed team is eliminated based on the rules of the competition, the market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will the New England Patriots make the playoffs?

This market will resolve according to the team who finishes fourth in the Constructor’s Championship for the 2025 F1 season.

In the case of a tie between two teams, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2025 F1 season are known, this market will resolve.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to finish in fourth place in the 2025 F1 Constructor's Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), this market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Will Ferrari finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025-26 EPL season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". 

Goals scored in Premier League matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., FA Cup, Carabao Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. 

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

This is a market to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football Big 12 Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football Big 12 Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 NCAA Football Big 12 Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Texas Tech win the 2025 Big 12 Championship Game?

This is a polymarket to predict which division the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team from the listed division wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the driver that finishes 4th in the driver standings for the 2025 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2025 F1 season are known, this market will resolve.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to place 4th in the driver standings for the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), this market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season has not been completed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Will George Russell finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?

This market will resolve according to the team who finishes fifth in the Constructor’s Championship for the 2025 F1 season.

In the case of a tie between two teams, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2025 F1 season are known, this market will resolve.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to finish in fifth place in the 2025 F1 Constructor's Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), this market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Will Williams finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?

This is a market to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football SEC Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football SEC Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 NCAA Football SEC Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Georgia win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?

This market will resolve to the team that wins the 2025 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the MLS Cup based on the rules of Major League Soccer (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer (MLS). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup?

This is a polymarket to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football Sun Belt Conference Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the 2025 NCAA Football Sun Belt Conference Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will James Madison win the 2025 Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

This market will resolve according to the team who finishes third in the Constructor’s Championship for the 2025 F1 season.

In the case of a tie between two teams, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2025 F1 season are known, this market will resolve.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to finish in third place in the 2025 F1 Constructor's Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), this market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Will Red Bull finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?

his market will resolve to "Yes" if the political party Alternative for Germany (Alternative für Deutschland, AfD) is banned at the federal level in Germany by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Partial bans at the state level or restrictions short of a full federal ban will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


AfD banned in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big 10 or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the Big 10's official Men's Basketball results, as published on bigten.org or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Purdue win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?

This is a polymarket to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the 2025 NCAA Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Western Michigan win the 2025 Mid-American Conference Championship Game?

This is a polymarket to predict which state the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team who plays in the listed state wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from California?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S.-based soccer club wins the 2025 MLS Cup, the 2025 U.S. Open Cup, and the 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup within the 2025–26 competitive season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for all U.S.-based teams to win any of these competitions based on the rules or elimination outcomes of the competitions, this market will resolve to "No".

Leagues Cup, Campeones Cup, and FIFA Club World Cup do not count toward this market.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible sports reporting following the conclusion of all three tournaments.

Will any U.S. soccer team win the treble in the 2025 season?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025–26 NHL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A team will be considered to have made the Playoffs if it qualifies for the postseason bracket under the official rules of the NHL for the 2025–26 season. Qualification through any officially recognized NHL format (including Wild Card berths) will count.

If it becomes impossible for the listed team to qualify for the Playoffs based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. the team is mathematically eliminated), this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will the Colorado Avalanche make the NHL Playoffs?

This is a polymarket to predict which conference the team that wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship will be from.

If a team from the listed conference wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the College Football Playoff is canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA Football.

Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the SEC?

This is a market to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football ACC Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football ACC Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 NCAA Football ACC Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Virginia win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?

This is a polymarket to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football Conference USA Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football Conference USA Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the 2025 NCAA Football Conference USA Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Kennesaw State win the 2025 Conference USA Championship Game?

This market will resolve according to the top goalscorer of the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League.

If multiple players tie for the most goals in the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League season, the market will resolve based on most assists, then most games played, and finally the player's last name alphabetically if ties persist.

If a player's team is eliminated, and they are not in the goal lead, the market for that player may resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

This is a polymarket to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football American Conference Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football American Conference Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the 2025 NCAA Football American Conference Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will North Texas win the 2025 American Conference Championship Game?

This market will resolve according to the team who finishes second in the Constructor’s Championship for the 2025 F1 season. 

In the case of a tie between two teams, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2025 F1 season are known this market will resolve.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to finish second place in the 2025 F1 Constructor's Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), this market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA.  (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).

FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the governing coalition consisting of CDU/CSU and SPD breaks by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market, the coalition is considered broken if either CDU/CSU or SPD ceases to be a coalition partner in the federal government.

A coalition break may be evidenced by:
– a formal withdrawal from the coalition,
– the resignation or dismissal of all ministers from one party,
– or the appointment of a new federal government.

If all ministers affiliated with one of the coalition parties resign or are dismissed, this may signal that party’s withdrawal from the coalition, even if one or more individuals remain in office as independents or continue without representing the party.

If the coalition breaks and the sitting Chancellor remains in office with a new coalition or as a minority government, this market will still resolve to “Yes.”

The break date is the date on which it becomes officially confirmed that the coalition has broken; mere reports of negotiations, speculation, or indications of an impending break will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the German government; however, a consensus of credible reporting from major reputable news outlets may also be used.

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the driver that finishes 5th in the driver standings for the 2025 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2025 F1 season are known, this market will resolve.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to place 5th in the driver standings for the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), this market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season has not been completed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Will Charles Leclerc finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player signs with a new club between market issuance and February 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any transfer, loan, loan extensions, or a free agent signing of a player that did not play for the club in the most recent season will qualify.

Transfers between a club’s senior and reserve or youth teams, as well as free agents re-signing with the team they most recently played for, will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the clubs involved, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Endrick sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in 3rd place in the 2025–26 English Premier League.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 3rd in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 3rd in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Manchester City finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a formal application is filed at Germany’s Federal Constitutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht) seeking to ban the political party Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) or requesting that the Court assess the constitutionality of the political party as part of a process that could lead to the party’s ban under Article 21(2) of the German Basic Law by December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The application must be officially lodged by one of the eligible entities: the Bundestag, the Bundesrat, or the Federal Government. 

This market does not require that the court accept or rule on the application—only that it is formally filed.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Bundesliga - Top 4 Finish

Bayern Munich
$558 Vol.
99%
0123456789
%

Dortmund
$3,617 Vol.
86%
0123456789
%

Leverkusen
$11,445 Vol.
67%
0123456789
%

RB Leipzig
$470 Vol.
53%
0123456789
%

Freiburg
$0 Vol.
49%

FC Koln
$0 Vol.
48%

Mgladbach
$5 Vol.
48%

St Pauli
$0 Vol.
48%

Mainz
$24 Vol.
48%

Union Berlin
$0 Vol.
48%

Werder Bremen
$1,432 Vol.
47%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Hamburger SV
$13 Vol.
43%

Stuttgart
$24 Vol.
37%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Eintracht Frankfurt
$4,090 Vol.
33%
0123456789
%

Hoffenheim
$267 Vol.
10%

FC Augsburg
$907 Vol.
6%
0123456789
0123456789
%

FC Heidenheim
$5 Vol.
5%

VfL Wolfsburg
$380 Vol.
5%

Market Context

Bundesliga - Top 4 Finish

Rules

Bundesliga - Top 4 Finish

Market Context

Bundesliga - Top 4 Finish

About

Related

Bundesliga - Top 4 Finish

Bayern Munich$558 Vol.99%0123456789%buy Yes99.2¢buy No1.6¢

Dortmund$3,617 Vol.86%0123456789%buy Yes91¢buy No20¢

Leverkusen$11,445 Vol.67%0123456789%buy Yes74¢buy No41¢

RB Leipzig$470 Vol.53%0123456789%buy Yes70¢buy No64¢

Freiburg$0 Vol.49%buy Yes94¢buy No97¢

FC Koln$0 Vol.48%buy Yes94¢buy No98¢

Mgladbach$5 Vol.48%buy Yes94¢buy No98¢

St Pauli$0 Vol.48%buy Yes95.0¢buy No99.5¢

Mainz$24 Vol.48%buy Yes93¢buy No98¢

Union Berlin$0 Vol.48%buy Yes93¢buy No98¢

Werder Bremen$1,432 Vol.47%01234567890123456789%buy Yes93¢buy No99¢

Hamburger SV$13 Vol.43%buy Yes83¢buy No98¢

Stuttgart$24 Vol.37%01234567890123456789%buy Yes50¢buy No77¢

Eintracht Frankfurt$4,090 Vol.33%0123456789%buy Yes48¢buy No83¢

Hoffenheim$267 Vol.10%buy Yes15¢buy No95¢

FC Augsburg$907 Vol.6%01234567890123456789%buy Yes9.8¢buy No98.0¢

FC Heidenheim$5 Vol.5%buy Yes10.0¢buy No99.3¢

VfL Wolfsburg$380 Vol.5%buy Yes9¢buy No99¢

Market Context

Bundesliga - Top 4 Finish

Rules

Bundesliga - Top 4 Finish

Market Context

Bundesliga - Top 4 Finish

About

Related

Bayern Munich
$558 Vol.
99%
0123456789
%

Dortmund
$3,617 Vol.
86%
0123456789
%

Leverkusen
$11,445 Vol.
67%
0123456789
%

RB Leipzig
$470 Vol.
53%
0123456789
%

Freiburg
$0 Vol.
49%

FC Koln
$0 Vol.
48%

Mgladbach
$5 Vol.
48%

St Pauli
$0 Vol.
48%

Mainz
$24 Vol.
48%

Union Berlin
$0 Vol.
48%

Werder Bremen
$1,432 Vol.
47%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Hamburger SV
$13 Vol.
43%

Stuttgart
$24 Vol.
37%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Eintracht Frankfurt
$4,090 Vol.
33%
0123456789
%

Hoffenheim
$267 Vol.
10%

FC Augsburg
$907 Vol.
6%
0123456789
0123456789
%

FC Heidenheim
$5 Vol.
5%

VfL Wolfsburg
$380 Vol.
5%