Trader consensus favors England at 29.5% implied probability for producing the UEFA Europa League champion, driven by Aston Villa's status as outright favorite following their dominant 3-0 aggregate round-of-16 win over Lille on March 19, paired with Nottingham Forest's gritty penalty-shootout advancement past Midtjylland. Portugal trails closely at 21.0% thanks to Porto and Braga's strong home legs in the quarters against Forest and Real Betis, respectively, leveraging domestic form and knockout experience. Spain's 19.5% reflects Celta Vigo and Betis's resilience, though facing Freiburg and Braga away first. Italy's Bologna (16.0%) and Germany's Freiburg (13.0%) lag with single representatives and tougher draws, underscoring a wide-open quarterfinal field ahead of April 9 first legs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedUEFA Europa League: Home country of champion
UEFA Europa League: Home country of champion
Spain 18%
Portugal 17%
Germany 13%
Italy 7%
Spain
20%
Portugal
21%
Germany
13%
Italy
16%
England
30%
Spain 18%
Portugal 17%
Germany 13%
Italy 7%
Spain
20%
Portugal
21%
Germany
13%
Italy
16%
England
30%
If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the UEFA Europa League (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after June 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the UEFA Europa League (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after June 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors England at 29.5% implied probability for producing the UEFA Europa League champion, driven by Aston Villa's status as outright favorite following their dominant 3-0 aggregate round-of-16 win over Lille on March 19, paired with Nottingham Forest's gritty penalty-shootout advancement past Midtjylland. Portugal trails closely at 21.0% thanks to Porto and Braga's strong home legs in the quarters against Forest and Real Betis, respectively, leveraging domestic form and knockout experience. Spain's 19.5% reflects Celta Vigo and Betis's resilience, though facing Freiburg and Braga away first. Italy's Bologna (16.0%) and Germany's Freiburg (13.0%) lag with single representatives and tougher draws, underscoring a wide-open quarterfinal field ahead of April 9 first legs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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