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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 9%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$64,205,527 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 9%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$64,205,527 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$903,606 Vol.

15%

Bryson Dechambeau

$252,522 Vol.

9%

Jon Rahm

$478,177 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$202,764 Vol.

7%

Xander Schauffele

$8,454,254 Vol.

5%

Ludvig Aberg

$400,700 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,391,725 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,788,673 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$282,359 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$420,063 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$407,297 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,849,159 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$353,076 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$331,373 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$231,092 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$711,422 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$229,519 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$337,615 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,016,333 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,091,072 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$308,357 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,807,410 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,678,846 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$831,440 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$172,411 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,275,783 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$282,253 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,646,102 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$207,147 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$236,430 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$274,412 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$166,479 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$153,624 Vol.

1%

Fred Couples

$1,016,097 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$165,247 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$232,533 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$140,405 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$309,340 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$308,652 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$454,426 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$169,329 Vol.

<1%

Keegan Bradley

$350,729 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$333,140 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$305,228 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$498,060 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$527,887 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$412,576 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$225,864 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$737,555 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$288,966 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$406,049 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$333,558 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$677,118 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$846,138 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$476,352 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$688,193 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$510,099 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$921,049 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$700,804 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's 14.5% implied probability leads trader consensus for the Masters winner at Augusta National, anchored by his two green jackets (2022, 2024) and elite strokes gained tee-to-green form entering the major, though his recent Houston Open withdrawal tempers dominance. Bryson DeChambeau (8.5%) surges on back-to-back LIV wins, including a playoff triumph over Jon Rahm (7.4%) last week in South Africa, highlighting their ball-striking prowess suited to Augusta's demanding layout. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) trails amid recovery from mid-March back spasms that forced Arnold Palmer Invitational withdrawal, while Xander Schauffele (5.2%) and Ludvig Aberg (5.1%) add depth via consistent recent finishes. The bunched top reflects a stacked field with 11 players boasting top-tier pre-Masters tee-to-green stats, echoing historical patterns where no entrant exceeds 20% pre-tournament.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,205,527
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's 14.5% implied probability leads trader consensus for the Masters winner at Augusta National, anchored by his two green jackets (2022, 2024) and elite strokes gained tee-to-green form entering the major, though his recent Houston Open withdrawal tempers dominance. Bryson DeChambeau (8.5%) surges on back-to-back LIV wins, including a playoff triumph over Jon Rahm (7.4%) last week in South Africa, highlighting their ball-striking prowess suited to Augusta's demanding layout. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) trails amid recovery from mid-March back spasms that forced Arnold Palmer Invitational withdrawal, while Xander Schauffele (5.2%) and Ludvig Aberg (5.1%) add depth via consistent recent finishes. The bunched top reflects a stacked field with 11 players boasting top-tier pre-Masters tee-to-green stats, echoing historical patterns where no entrant exceeds 20% pre-tournament.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,205,527
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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1%
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35%
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36%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $64.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.