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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Rory McIlroy 8%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Polymarket

$58,587,226 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Rory McIlroy 8%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Polymarket

$58,587,226 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$488,383 Vol.

16%

Rory McIlroy

$179,971 Vol.

8%

Bryson Dechambeau

$195,589 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$393,236 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$314,053 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,349,217 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,321,752 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,710,195 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$249,008 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$235,374 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$358,100 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$363,480 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$179,879 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$206,403 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$169,624 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,769,066 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,971,382 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,001,888 Vol.

2%

Shane Lowry

$6,594,503 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$270,157 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$149,497 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$664,255 Vol.

1%

Tiger Woods

$601,258 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,263,765 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$803,308 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$198,856 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$171,696 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$236,674 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,555,035 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$149,269 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,720,264 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$132,853 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$83,738 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$126,701 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$100,914 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$142,045 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$205,193 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$302,750 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$202,609 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$258,271 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$390,836 Vol.

1%

Thomas Detry

$188,969 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$224,974 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$290,944 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$245,285 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$326,384 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$604,681 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$451,834 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$379,741 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$434,106 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$151,807 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$165,401 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$319,839 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$633,717 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$450,916 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$469,837 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$558,976 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$396,087 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$514,365 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 16% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 ball-striking prowess and recent Houston Open victory, bolstering his Augusta course history with two green jackets in three years. Rory McIlroy and Bryson DeChambeau share 7.5% amid McIlroy's hot putter in recent majors prep and career grand slam pursuit, while DeChambeau's booming drives suit Augusta's par 5s after strong LIV form. Jon Rahm's 7.4% reflects 2023 Masters title defense potential despite limited PGA starts, with Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele trailing on rising tee-to-green stats and major contention. Mild weather forecast favors bombers, but Amen Corner precision and putting separate leaders in this wide-open stroke play field.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$58,587,226
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 16% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 ball-striking prowess and recent Houston Open victory, bolstering his Augusta course history with two green jackets in three years. Rory McIlroy and Bryson DeChambeau share 7.5% amid McIlroy's hot putter in recent majors prep and career grand slam pursuit, while DeChambeau's booming drives suit Augusta's par 5s after strong LIV form. Jon Rahm's 7.4% reflects 2023 Masters title defense potential despite limited PGA starts, with Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele trailing on rising tee-to-green stats and major contention. Mild weather forecast favors bombers, but Amen Corner precision and putting separate leaders in this wide-open stroke play field.

Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 16% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 ball-striking prowess and recent Houston Open victory, bolstering his Augusta course history with two green jackets in three years. Rory McIlroy and Bryson DeChambeau share 7.5% amid McIlroy's hot putter in recent majors prep and career grand slam pursuit, while DeChambeau's booming drives suit Augusta's par 5s after strong LIV form. Jon Rahm's 7.4% reflects 2023 Masters title defense potential despite limited PGA starts, with Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele trailing on rising tee-to-green stats and major contention. Mild weather forecast favors bombers, but Amen Corner precision and putting separate leaders in this wide-open stroke play field.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Rory McIlroy" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $58.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.