Scottie Scheffler commands trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability to claim a third green jacket at Augusta National, underpinned by two prior Masters victories, elite iron play, par-5 scoring, and scrambling on lightning-fast greens, with his season-opening American Express triumph at 27-under signaling sustained dominance despite a family-related withdrawal from this week's Houston Open—echoing successful prep before a past title. Rory McIlroy (7.5%), the 2025 defending champion who completed his career Grand Slam, vies alongside Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%), riding back-to-back LIV wins including a playoff over Jon Rahm (7.1%), while Matt Fitzpatrick (4.3%) surges post-Valspar Championship victory. In this wide-open stroke-play field, course history and recent form sharply differentiate leaders from a stacked roster featuring Xander Schauffele's consistency and Ludvig Aberg's upside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 16%
Rory McIlroy 8%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.1%
$59,674,646 Vol.
$59,674,646 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Rory McIlroy
8%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Justin Rose
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Jason Day
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Max Homa
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Rory McIlroy 8%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.1%
$59,674,646 Vol.
$59,674,646 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Rory McIlroy
8%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Justin Rose
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Jason Day
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Max Homa
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler commands trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability to claim a third green jacket at Augusta National, underpinned by two prior Masters victories, elite iron play, par-5 scoring, and scrambling on lightning-fast greens, with his season-opening American Express triumph at 27-under signaling sustained dominance despite a family-related withdrawal from this week's Houston Open—echoing successful prep before a past title. Rory McIlroy (7.5%), the 2025 defending champion who completed his career Grand Slam, vies alongside Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%), riding back-to-back LIV wins including a playoff over Jon Rahm (7.1%), while Matt Fitzpatrick (4.3%) surges post-Valspar Championship victory. In this wide-open stroke-play field, course history and recent form sharply differentiate leaders from a stacked roster featuring Xander Schauffele's consistency and Ludvig Aberg's upside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions