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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.3%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$63,585,812 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.3%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$63,585,812 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$890,705 Vol.

16%

Bryson Dechambeau

$245,369 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$465,740 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$197,407 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$381,495 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,435,876 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,378,364 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,775,854 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$275,873 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$413,958 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$405,118 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$314,709 Vol.

3%

Akshay Bhatia

$341,145 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$703,684 Vol.

2%

Jordan Spieth

$4,837,418 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$218,807 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$208,568 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,003,582 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$324,991 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,077,033 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$825,061 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$305,810 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,669,432 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$170,854 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,272,505 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$249,815 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$274,224 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$205,025 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$235,345 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,634,332 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,789,908 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$166,097 Vol.

1%

Taylor Pendrith

$509,029 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$152,577 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$140,210 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$164,785 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$223,959 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$298,642 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$294,889 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$447,278 Vol.

1%

Davis Thompson

$736,760 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$162,770 Vol.

<1%

Keegan Bradley

$339,823 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$326,175 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$297,864 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$494,259 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$522,295 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$402,821 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$221,041 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$284,021 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$395,723 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$675,413 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$830,821 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$465,424 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$943,474 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$658,731 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$291,573 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$912,260 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$699,341 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's 15.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite reflects his two green jackets from 2022 and 2024, unmatched Augusta National course history, and top-tier strokes gained tee-to-green dominance that exploits the layout's firm greens and par-5 emphasis. Bryson DeChambeau's recent back-to-back LIV Golf wins have surged his 7.5% standing, showcasing power off the tee and U.S. Open pedigree amid strong recent ball-striking. Jon Rahm (7.3%) benefits from elite SG tee-to-green metrics in the past three months, bolstering his 2023 Masters title defense potential. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) trails slightly due to a lingering back injury causing early-season withdrawals, despite distance advantages. With the field finalized post-Houston Open and Valero Texas Open tune-ups, no recent major injuries or withdrawals sharpen focus on form, scrambling, and approach play in this competitive major.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$63,585,812
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's 15.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite reflects his two green jackets from 2022 and 2024, unmatched Augusta National course history, and top-tier strokes gained tee-to-green dominance that exploits the layout's firm greens and par-5 emphasis. Bryson DeChambeau's recent back-to-back LIV Golf wins have surged his 7.5% standing, showcasing power off the tee and U.S. Open pedigree amid strong recent ball-striking. Jon Rahm (7.3%) benefits from elite SG tee-to-green metrics in the past three months, bolstering his 2023 Masters title defense potential. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) trails slightly due to a lingering back injury causing early-season withdrawals, despite distance advantages. With the field finalized post-Houston Open and Valero Texas Open tune-ups, no recent major injuries or withdrawals sharpen focus on form, scrambling, and approach play in this competitive major.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$63,585,812
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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36%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $63.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.