Scottie Scheffler leads Polymarket trader consensus at 14.5% implied probability to claim another green jacket at Augusta National, bolstered by his world No. 1 status, two prior Masters victories, elite par-5 scoring, and solid 2026 form highlighted by an American Express win and a bogey-free 67 at the Players Championship last week. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) trail closely on surging LIV Golf momentum—DeChambeau's back-to-back wins including a playoff over Rahm—while Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defending champion, lurks amid 11 players posting 1.7+ strokes gained tee-to-green over recent months. The bunched top outcomes reflect a stacked field with proven Augusta performers like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele, course history advantages, and no dominant seasonal runaway, fostering tight competition where precision irons and scrambling will decide the champion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,191,523 Vol.
$61,191,523 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Collin Morikawa
4%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Jason Day
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,191,523 Vol.
$61,191,523 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Collin Morikawa
4%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Jason Day
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler leads Polymarket trader consensus at 14.5% implied probability to claim another green jacket at Augusta National, bolstered by his world No. 1 status, two prior Masters victories, elite par-5 scoring, and solid 2026 form highlighted by an American Express win and a bogey-free 67 at the Players Championship last week. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) trail closely on surging LIV Golf momentum—DeChambeau's back-to-back wins including a playoff over Rahm—while Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defending champion, lurks amid 11 players posting 1.7+ strokes gained tee-to-green over recent months. The bunched top outcomes reflect a stacked field with proven Augusta performers like Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele, course history advantages, and no dominant seasonal runaway, fostering tight competition where precision irons and scrambling will decide the champion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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