Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, driven by his elite ball-striking precision, superior Augusta course history—including two green jackets in recent years—and consistent par-5 scoring that exploits Augusta's layout, despite withdrawing from the Houston Open for a family milestone mirroring his pre-2024 title prep. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surges on back-to-back LIV wins and improved finishes at Augusta, while Jon Rahm (7.4%) draws support from his past championship and LIV dominance; Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the defending 2025 champion, benefits from eight top-10s in his last 12 Masters starts. Matt Fitzpatrick's Valspar Championship victory elevates his 4.5% share amid a wide-open field favoring approach play and scrambling on firm, fast greens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,138,030 Vol.
$61,138,030 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,138,030 Vol.
$61,138,030 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, driven by his elite ball-striking precision, superior Augusta course history—including two green jackets in recent years—and consistent par-5 scoring that exploits Augusta's layout, despite withdrawing from the Houston Open for a family milestone mirroring his pre-2024 title prep. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surges on back-to-back LIV wins and improved finishes at Augusta, while Jon Rahm (7.4%) draws support from his past championship and LIV dominance; Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the defending 2025 champion, benefits from eight top-10s in his last 12 Masters starts. Matt Fitzpatrick's Valspar Championship victory elevates his 4.5% share amid a wide-open field favoring approach play and scrambling on firm, fast greens.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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