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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$61,210,016 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$61,210,016 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$740,923 Vol.

15%

Bryson Dechambeau

$215,471 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$425,210 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$185,631 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$354,469 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,391,712 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,360,088 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,740,462 Vol.

4%

Collin Morikawa

$289,892 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$393,203 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$257,441 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$387,727 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,791,882 Vol.

3%

Brooks Koepka

$200,733 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$289,888 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$315,394 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$192,803 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$295,691 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,030,026 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,989,941 Vol.

2%

Justin Thomas

$160,249 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,753,494 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,618,931 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,607,993 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$811,909 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$678,910 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,269,285 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$201,530 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$195,222 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$238,790 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$152,669 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$136,134 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$284,278 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$156,712 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$216,170 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$119,279 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$207,328 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$112,065 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$274,550 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$399,659 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$322,924 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$615,924 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$299,922 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$272,680 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$226,377 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$648,697 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$489,127 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$346,735 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$794,085 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$420,480 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$469,557 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$220,226 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$205,997 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$351,373 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$716,526 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$592,444 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$627,580 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$727,507 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$420,741 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history, including wins in 2022 and 2024 plus consistent top-10s, bolstered by his recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for family reasons to prioritize rest ahead of the green jacket defense. The race stays tight with Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV victories and improved Masters finishes fueling his 7.5% share, Jon Rahm's surging LIV form outpacing early 2026 rivals at 7.4%, and defending champion Rory McIlroy's 6.5% backing despite lingering back concerns from The Players. Elite iron play and par-5 scoring from Aberg, Schauffele, and Fitzpatrick underscore the field's depth and Augusta's volatility for upsets.

Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history, including wins in 2022 and 2024 plus consistent top-10s, bolstered by his recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for family reasons to prioritize rest ahead of the green jacket defense. The race stays tight with Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV victories and improved Masters finishes fueling his 7.5% share, Jon Rahm's surging LIV form outpacing early 2026 rivals at 7.4%, and defending champion Rory McIlroy's 6.5% backing despite lingering back concerns from The Players. Elite iron play and par-5 scoring from Aberg, Schauffele, and Fitzpatrick underscore the field's depth and Augusta's volatility for upsets.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history, including wins in 2022 and 2024 plus consistent top-10s, bolstered by his recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for family reasons to prioritize rest ahead of the green jacket defense. The race stays tight with Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV victories and improved Masters finishes fueling his 7.5% share, Jon Rahm's surging LIV form outpacing early 2026 rivals at 7.4%, and defending champion Rory McIlroy's 6.5% backing despite lingering back concerns from The Players. Elite iron play and par-5 scoring from Aberg, Schauffele, and Fitzpatrick underscore the field's depth and Augusta's volatility for upsets.

Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history, including wins in 2022 and 2024 plus consistent top-10s, bolstered by his recent withdrawal from the Houston Open for family reasons to prioritize rest ahead of the green jacket defense. The race stays tight with Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV victories and improved Masters finishes fueling his 7.5% share, Jon Rahm's surging LIV form outpacing early 2026 rivals at 7.4%, and defending champion Rory McIlroy's 6.5% backing despite lingering back concerns from The Players. Elite iron play and par-5 scoring from Aberg, Schauffele, and Fitzpatrick underscore the field's depth and Augusta's volatility for upsets.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $61.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.