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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$61,540,040 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$61,540,040 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$742,208 Vol.

15%

Bryson Dechambeau

$216,188 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$431,813 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$187,752 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$357,720 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,365,972 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,394,852 Vol.

5%

Cameron Young

$2,742,934 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$264,404 Vol.

4%

Justin Rose

$394,570 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$292,111 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$389,080 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,795,114 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$316,960 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$201,548 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$193,447 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$298,885 Vol.

2%

Shane Lowry

$6,620,871 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$294,081 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,032,891 Vol.

2%

Justin Thomas

$161,143 Vol.

1%

Viktor Hovland

$4,990,636 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,610,428 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$679,534 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$812,064 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,270,212 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,757,306 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$202,598 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$195,660 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$239,132 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$153,127 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$144,742 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$157,912 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$219,018 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$119,842 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$113,799 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$281,464 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$285,112 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$215,033 Vol.

<1%

Keegan Bradley

$330,884 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$616,965 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$301,172 Vol.

<1%

Sahith Theegala

$404,382 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$284,395 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$226,768 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$669,261 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$498,458 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$358,524 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$432,764 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$469,766 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$229,806 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$206,753 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$362,200 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$812,930 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$761,861 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$601,585 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$641,679 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$766,202 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$423,365 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's unmatched Augusta National course history—leading scoring average at -40 to par over the past decade—anchors his trader consensus as slight favorite at 14.5% implied probability, despite a frustrating 2026 form slump, prickly media interactions, and withdrawal from last week's Houston Open for family reasons, skipping further tune-ups before the April 9-12 major. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) trail closely on LIV Golf momentum and major-winning pedigrees, while defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyes a second green jacket post-back injury recovery. The bunched top reflects a deep 90-player invitational field, inconsistent PGA Tour prep results like The Players, and Augusta's tradition of low scores rewarding precision amid recent course tweaks including a new Players Service Building.

Scottie Scheffler's unmatched Augusta National course history—leading scoring average at -40 to par over the past decade—anchors his trader consensus as slight favorite at 14.5% implied probability, despite a frustrating 2026 form slump, prickly media interactions, and withdrawal from last week's Houston Open for family reasons, skipping further tune-ups before the April 9-12 major. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) trail closely on LIV Golf momentum and major-winning pedigrees, while defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyes a second green jacket post-back injury recovery. The bunched top reflects a deep 90-player invitational field, inconsistent PGA Tour prep results like The Players, and Augusta's tradition of low scores rewarding precision amid recent course tweaks including a new Players Service Building.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's unmatched Augusta National course history—leading scoring average at -40 to par over the past decade—anchors his trader consensus as slight favorite at 14.5% implied probability, despite a frustrating 2026 form slump, prickly media interactions, and withdrawal from last week's Houston Open for family reasons, skipping further tune-ups before the April 9-12 major. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) trail closely on LIV Golf momentum and major-winning pedigrees, while defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyes a second green jacket post-back injury recovery. The bunched top reflects a deep 90-player invitational field, inconsistent PGA Tour prep results like The Players, and Augusta's tradition of low scores rewarding precision amid recent course tweaks including a new Players Service Building.

Scottie Scheffler's unmatched Augusta National course history—leading scoring average at -40 to par over the past decade—anchors his trader consensus as slight favorite at 14.5% implied probability, despite a frustrating 2026 form slump, prickly media interactions, and withdrawal from last week's Houston Open for family reasons, skipping further tune-ups before the April 9-12 major. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) trail closely on LIV Golf momentum and major-winning pedigrees, while defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyes a second green jacket post-back injury recovery. The bunched top reflects a deep 90-player invitational field, inconsistent PGA Tour prep results like The Players, and Augusta's tradition of low scores rewarding precision amid recent course tweaks including a new Players Service Building.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $61.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.