Scottie Scheffler tops trader consensus at 14.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, fueled by his two prior Augusta National triumphs, world No. 1 ball-striking prowess, and steady 2026 form highlighted by an American Express victory and multiple top-10s including a bogey-free Players round. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) trail closely after DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV Golf wins, capped by a playoff birdie over Rahm in South Africa last weekend, showcasing distance and momentum suited to Augusta's par-5s and firm greens. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) lurks with grand slam pressure, while Ludvig Aberg, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Xander Schauffele bolster a bunched top tier via recent leaderboard contention and course history, underscoring the field's parity amid final field confirmations and no clear prep dominant.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,426,091 Vol.
$61,426,091 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Cameron Young
4%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,426,091 Vol.
$61,426,091 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Cameron Young
4%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler tops trader consensus at 14.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, fueled by his two prior Augusta National triumphs, world No. 1 ball-striking prowess, and steady 2026 form highlighted by an American Express victory and multiple top-10s including a bogey-free Players round. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) trail closely after DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV Golf wins, capped by a playoff birdie over Rahm in South Africa last weekend, showcasing distance and momentum suited to Augusta's par-5s and firm greens. Rory McIlroy (6.5%) lurks with grand slam pressure, while Ludvig Aberg, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Xander Schauffele bolster a bunched top tier via recent leaderboard contention and course history, underscoring the field's parity amid final field confirmations and no clear prep dominant.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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