Scottie Scheffler's underwhelming start to 2026 and withdrawal from the Texas Children's Houston Open for family reasons—amid the birth of his second child—have tempered trader consensus on his Augusta National dominance despite two prior green jackets and a flawless cut streak, capping his implied probability at 14.5%. Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV Golf triumphs showcase par-5 power suiting the layout, while Jon Rahm tops strokes-gained metrics this year; Rory McIlroy builds momentum chasing the career Grand Slam; and recent PGA standouts like Matt Fitzpatrick's Valspar Championship win, Cameron Young's Players victory, and Xander Schauffele's consistency deepen the field. This competitive depth, blending recent form, major pedigree, and Augusta history, keeps top outcomes tightly clustered amid a wide-open leaderboard battle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,248,152 Vol.
$61,248,152 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Jason Day
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,248,152 Vol.
$61,248,152 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Jason Day
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's underwhelming start to 2026 and withdrawal from the Texas Children's Houston Open for family reasons—amid the birth of his second child—have tempered trader consensus on his Augusta National dominance despite two prior green jackets and a flawless cut streak, capping his implied probability at 14.5%. Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV Golf triumphs showcase par-5 power suiting the layout, while Jon Rahm tops strokes-gained metrics this year; Rory McIlroy builds momentum chasing the career Grand Slam; and recent PGA standouts like Matt Fitzpatrick's Valspar Championship win, Cameron Young's Players victory, and Xander Schauffele's consistency deepen the field. This competitive depth, blending recent form, major pedigree, and Augusta history, keeps top outcomes tightly clustered amid a wide-open leaderboard battle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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