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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$62,496,660 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$62,496,660 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$806,463 Vol.

15%

Bryson Dechambeau

$229,985 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$443,640 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$190,734 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$368,655 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,413,999 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,369,301 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,758,506 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$398,316 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$267,424 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$305,073 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$401,192 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,811,332 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$325,999 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$215,246 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$198,021 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$310,713 Vol.

2%

Russell Henley

$822,772 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,993,864 Vol.

2%

Shane Lowry

$6,626,023 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,060,760 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$295,247 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$697,778 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$163,642 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$233,709 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$228,904 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,271,012 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,625,280 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$204,504 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,768,095 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$241,520 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$154,362 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$145,757 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$162,614 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$221,135 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$138,306 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$289,334 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$442,618 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$154,868 Vol.

<1%

Keegan Bradley

$336,266 Vol.

<1%

Will Zalatoris

$284,538 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$629,287 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$315,923 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$291,925 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$508,332 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$389,483 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$475,186 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$219,141 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$250,394 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$385,123 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$674,142 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$822,591 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$459,620 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$850,244 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$651,290 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$268,049 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$655,455 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$846,574 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$428,369 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 15% implied probability stems from his two prior green jackets (2022, 2024), unmatched Augusta course history, and elite stats in irons, par-5 scoring, and scrambling, bolstered by his sustained World No. 1 ranking despite recent swing adjustments and a Houston Open withdrawal. The race stays tight with Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) riding back-to-back LIV wins including a playoff over Rahm, Jon Rahm (7.4%) fresh off strong LIV form and a Hong Kong victory, and defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyeing a Grand Slam repeat after eight top-10s in his last 12 Masters starts. Cameron Young's recent Players Championship win elevates him to 3.5%, while Collin Morikawa's back injury withdrawal dims his outlook; benign Augusta weather forecasts favor precision play in this stacked field of 93.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,496,660
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 15% implied probability stems from his two prior green jackets (2022, 2024), unmatched Augusta course history, and elite stats in irons, par-5 scoring, and scrambling, bolstered by his sustained World No. 1 ranking despite recent swing adjustments and a Houston Open withdrawal. The race stays tight with Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) riding back-to-back LIV wins including a playoff over Rahm, Jon Rahm (7.4%) fresh off strong LIV form and a Hong Kong victory, and defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyeing a Grand Slam repeat after eight top-10s in his last 12 Masters starts. Cameron Young's recent Players Championship win elevates him to 3.5%, while Collin Morikawa's back injury withdrawal dims his outlook; benign Augusta weather forecasts favor precision play in this stacked field of 93.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,496,660
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 15%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $62.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.