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Arizona Senate Election Winner

$19,995,784 Vol.

Nov 5, 2024

Ruben Gallego 100.0%

Kari Lake <1%

0%20%40%60%80%100%

Source: Polymarket.com

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

RESULT

Rules

United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Arizona US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Volume

$19,995,784

End Date

Nov 5, 2024

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Comments (1867)
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Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

BryanB.42

4d ago

Little-known Green Party candidate who didn’t even file a campaign finance report gets 282 votes in the primary only to wind up with 75,000 votes in Nov, almost the margin of Kari Lake’s race This pattern keeps repeating against AZ GOP senate candidates : https://www.wnd.com/2024/12/strange-vote-numbers-pointing-to-election-fraud/

zz155

25d ago

I hate this market.

NoiseC

2mo ago

OK can we have an arizona senate confirmation market now please? Need more free money...

JohnnyDeep

2mo ago

Imagine Lake makes a comeback one day like Trump

NoiseC

2mo ago

The problem is trump won before and then did it again.

Don't worry guys, Kari is a great candidate and you should all save as much as you can to bet it all on her in 2026.

Slan

Slan

2mo ago

Yes, and we can prepare some capital to bet on her guaranteed loss :D

moshito

2mo ago

why hasnt this market resolved?

Gibaja

Gibaja

2mo ago

Maybe lawsuits by GOP and Lake coming?

Symbolic17

2mo ago

I'm buying more, the RNC seems serious this time about voter fraud

MeNoDatNutReelMuni

HURRY!

Scottyp75

2mo ago

You really need to get better information. And understand how this betting market works.

RaphBot

2mo ago

93% expected votes in (Est. remaining 233,000)

RaphBot

2mo ago

Nbc call for Ruben

Russet

2mo ago

Harmeet and legal team are uncovering fraud in Az and when it drops well this market is doing a complete 180 same as the other swing states already flipped some house races RED

Russet

2mo ago

Bigger than the MI seats flipping RED

Russet

2mo ago

This market will be at 50 cents soon as big news possibly even tonight or def tomo

RaphBot

2mo ago

ZzzzzzzzZzzZZZZzzz soon one week

To be fair, Lake made just one mistake. And that was to run

TartarianRetard

Cartel cucks cheating as if their families lives depend on it

TartarianRetard

110k more votes then Kamala both 92% counted in Arizona

Scottyp75

2mo ago

You do know that in 2020 Arizonans split ticket voted GOP candidates into 2 districts Trump lost 1st and 6th. Meanwhile AZ split ticket between Doug Ducey and Kristen Sinema in 2018. Perhaps Arizona voters are actually independent thinkers? Perhaps running a race based on fearmongering and name calling and baseless attacks on your own party administration is not a recipe for success in Arizona?

NoiseC

2mo ago

@Scottyp75

You can't reason with them. That's why it's so easy to take their money.

NoiseC

2mo ago

Alrighty you nutjobs, do your thing so I can buy back in and make more money. No excuses.

JohnnyDeep

2mo ago

I think you just gave them a couple

NoiseC

2mo ago

@JohnnyDeep

I certainly cannot shape their behavior in any way.

Russet

2mo ago

Kari going to win this now I believe 100% anf Fox will not call race until its a certainty

NoiseC

2mo ago

For the love of god, poly needs to make a certification market for this race, but only after this one pays out.

Comebackkid

Poorlets stay poor anyways

Comebackkid

Cartel cuck buy Lake/yes shares and try to gaslight

Comebackkid

AP ON VOTE COUNT: 69% REPORTING

Comebackkid

SOURCES: TOO CLOSE TO CALL, HAVE FAITH FOLKS.

Comebackkid

SARS, PATRIOTS IN CONTROL, DEPLOYING THE US MARSHALS, STABD BACK AND STAND READY

Russet

2mo ago

So price for 54 senate seats is three cents but this market is 5 cents go figure should be 1 cent both markets however the 54 seats is a better market odds absolutely

JohnnyDeep

2mo ago

This is very sad

The question is, will Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC confirm her loss before legal action takes place? Doesn't matter if she eventually wins

Russet

2mo ago

One hundred percent poly will pay out even if Kari wins on appeal we will be screwed

TartarianRetard

Cartel cuck buy Lake/yes shares and try to gaslight

Oogie

2mo ago

This was all done to catch these idiots in election fraud.....Haha. Watch. Good job Kari.

meower1337

2mo ago

meowmeowmeow

RaphBot

2mo ago

Green party fuck us with 67,961 votes +2.2%

RaphBot

2mo ago

Kari Lake Republican 1,488,733 +47.8% 47.8 + 2.2% = 50

Russet

2mo ago

Even though I support Kari Lake no idiot here will buy until maybe the inevitable crash to one cent REEEEEEEEEEEEEE

Russet

2mo ago

Only people still holding Lake Win are emotionally invested we know we are going to lose but just cannot bring ourselves to accept it LOL

Russet

2mo ago

Just watched the live feed at Maricopa and wish I tuned in earlier as you can see its a bunch of lefties doing whatever the fk they want LOL

TartarianRetard

That fat bitch going to jail

RaphBot

2mo ago

Kari Lake have a bad reputation for lose Arizona two times ? during a big red wave/Trump Win - I dont see any reason

Russet

2mo ago

There is no one left to fool here or grift and no more pump and dumps Kari is cooked sadly ALL OVER

Maricopa county is the most corrupt Cartel Run county in the country

REEEEEEEEEE

Trump wins by 5.7, Lake loses by 2.2, 7.9 spread between the two - BULLSHIT! MY ASS!

Outcome: Yes

Ruben Gallego