Name: American aid to Israel by Dec 31?
Start: 2023-11-27T16:53:45.446Z
End: 2023-12-31T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill granting a new aid package to Israel is signed into law in the United States by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

American aid to Israel by Dec 31?

The oil tanker Bella 1 has allegedly been involved in the Iranian oil trade and linked to sanctions-evasion activity. On December 21, 2025, U.S. forces intercepted Bella 1 near Venezuela. You can find more details here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/21/us/politics/us-coast-guard-venezuela-oil-tankers.html.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces board the "Bella 1" by December 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

U.S. government forces refers to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors.

Board refers to U.S. forces physically boarding the Bella 1, including placing personnel on the vessel for inspection, enforcement, seizure, or operational control, regardless of whether the vessel is ultimately seized or diverted.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

American aid to Israel by Dec 31?

Market Context

American aid to Israel by Dec 31?

Rules

American aid to Israel by Dec 31?

Market Context

American aid to Israel by Dec 31?

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