Name: 400m Freestyle Winner (M)
Start: 2024-07-26T15:20:45.460876Z
End: 2024-07-27T12:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

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Improved notification preferences and types.

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Improved in-game view for sports markets.

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Enable updates from the sports websocket.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lukas Martens (GER) wins a Gold medal in Men's 400m Freestyle at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to "No".

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Lukas Martens (GER)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Short (AUS) wins a Gold medal in Men's 400m Freestyle at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to "No".

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Samuel Short (AUS)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an athlete other than L. Martens, S. Short, E. Winnington, K. Woo-Min, G. Costa, or F. Auboeck wins a Gold medal in Men's 400m Freestyle at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to "No".

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Other

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elijah Winnington (AUS) wins a Gold medal in Men's 400m Freestyle at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to "No".

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Elijah Winnington (AUS)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Woo-Min (KOR) wins a Gold medal in Men's 400m Freestyle at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to "No".

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Kim Woo-Min (KOR)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oliver Klemet (GER) wins a Gold medal in Men's 400m Freestyle at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to "No".

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Oliver Klemet (GER)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Guilherme Costa (BRA) wins a Gold medal in Men's 400m Freestyle at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to "No".

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Guilherme Costa (BRA)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Felix Auboeck (AUT) wins a Gold medal in Men's 400m Freestyle at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to "No".

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Felix Auboeck (AUT)

400m Freestyle Winner (M)

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship, currently scheduled for October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player is eliminated from the championship under the tournament's official rules, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies.

If the winner is not announced by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?

This market will resolve according to the player who wins the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open, scheduled to take place from December 18–21, 2025.

If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, or otherwise becomes ineligible to win under the official tournament rules, that player’s market will resolve to “No.”

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour tournament rules (e.g., playoff results).

If no winner is officially announced by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the DP World Tour on europeantour.com, and confirmation through PGA TOUR results or other credible media reporting may also be used.

Will Christo Lamprecht win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open?

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the Naismith College Player of the Year Award for the 2025-2026 Men’s NCAA division 1 basketball season.

If the listed player is not included as a semifinalist or finalist for the Naismith College Player of the Year Award, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no winner is announced by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the Naismith Awards organizers (https://naismithtrophy.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Cameron Boozer win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award?

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

The 2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship chess tournament is scheduled for December 26-28, 2025 in Doha, Qatar.

This market will resolve to the listed player who wins the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship.

If a listed player is eliminated from this tournament, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

This polymarket will resolve to the player who wins the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player wins the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament per the official rules of the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Learner Tien win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament

This market will resolve according to the bracket containing the number of the contestant who is announced as the winner of Beast Games.

The winner is defined as the contestant who is announced as the winner. If multiple players are announced as the winner, this market will resolve according to the contestant who wins the most prize money in the final episode. If multiple players tie for most prize money this money will resolve according to the winning contestant whose listed number is highest. 

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. 

The primary resolution source will be the final episode of the Beast Games, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will a contestant numbered 1 - 25 win Beast Games: Season 2?

The 2025 FIDE World Blitz Championship chess tournament is scheduled for December 29-30, 2025 in Doha, Qatar.

This market will resolve to the listed player who wins the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship.

If a listed player is eliminated from this tournament, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 SEC Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the NCAA or SEC (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), this market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 SEC Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the SEC’s official Men's Basketball results, as published on SECSports.com or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Florida win the 2025-2026 SEC Men's Basketball regular season championship?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver.

If the listed driver wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if xQc breaks Forsen's In-Game-Time of 15:28:130 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for xQc to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe.

For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated.

For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by xQc or where xQc is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be xQc's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/xqc); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. 

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the DreamLeague Season 27.

If the DreamLeague Season 27 is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the DreamLeague organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Team Spirit win DreamLeague 27?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 ACC Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the ACC or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the ACC’s official Men's Basketball results, as published on theacc.com or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will North Carolina win the 2025-2026 ACC Men’s Basketball regular season championship?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will South Carolina (Women’s) win the 2025–2026 SEC Regular Season?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Carl Brunner win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Joey Atkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?

This market will resolve according to the listed team/country that wins the silver medal for Men’s Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics.

If it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Men’s Ice Hockey Olympic silver medal according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no silver medal for Men’s Ice Hockey awarded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the listed team/country that wins the bronze medal for Men’s Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics.

If it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Men’s Ice Hockey Olympic bronze medal according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no bronze medal for Men’s Ice Hockey awarded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

This market will resolve to the listed participant with the highest PnL at the end of the Defi App trading competition starting on November 10, 2025.

The resolution source will be the Defi App Leaderboard on https://app.defi.app/contest.

If two or more participants are tied for the highest PnL at the time of resolution, the market will resolve to the participant whose display name appears first in alphabetical order on the official Defi App leaderboard.

If the competition is not completed or the official leaderboard is unavailable, the market will remain open until reliable data is published by Defi App. If no such data becomes available by January 31, 2026 ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

Note: The official competition includes a large number of participants, however this market will resolve solely based on the listed group of KOL participants. Traders who are not eligible KOLs will not be considered. An eligible KOL will be considered to have won if they are the top trader out of eligible KOLs, regardless of if one of the non-KOL participants finishes ahead of them.

Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be the ICC (https://www.icc-cricket.com/tournaments/mens-t20-world-cup-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big East Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big East Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big East Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big East or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big East Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the Big East’s official Men's Basketball results, as published on bigeast.com or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?

The 2025 FIDE World Rapid & Blitz Championships are scheduled for December 26-30, 2025 in Doha, Qatar.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Magnus Carlsen wins both the FIDE World Rapid Open Championship and the FIDE World Blitz Open Championship at this event. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Carlsen is eliminated from contention to win either the World Rapid Open Championship or the World Blitz Open Championship, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If 2025 FIDE World Rapid & Blitz Championships are cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big 10 or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the Big 10's official Men's Basketball results, as published on bigten.org or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will another team win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?

This polymarket will resolve to the team that wins the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed pair wins the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this pair to win the tournament per the official rules of the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Harri Heliovaara and Henry Patten win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Janet Mills and Graham Platner, Janet Mills becomes the favorite in the "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" (https://polymarket.com/event/maine-democratic-senate-primary-winner?) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Janet Mills will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if she is ahead of Graham Platner in more individual minutes than Graham Platner is ahead of Janet Mills during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-mills-flip-platner-for-maine-dem-senate-primary-winner-by-january-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Will Mills flip Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner by January 31?

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Deiveson Figueiredo next?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Delaware.

If no 2026 Delaware Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

The Paddy Power World Darts Championship is scheduled to take place at London's Alexandra Palace from December 11 until January 3.

This market will resolve according to the player who wins the PDC World Darts Championship.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the PDC World Darts Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published on the PDC website (https://www.pdc.tv).

Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.

If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Sixth Man of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Sixth Man of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Miles McBride win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia.

If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.

400m Freestyle Winner (M)

Lukas Martens (GER)
$10,783 Vol.
Yes

Samuel Short (AUS)
$50 Vol.
No

Other
$369 Vol.
No

Elijah Winnington (AUS)
$20 Vol.
No

Kim Woo-Min (KOR)
$950 Vol.
No

Oliver Klemet (GER)
$29 Vol.
No

Guilherme Costa (BRA)
$865 Vol.
No

Felix Auboeck (AUT)
$68 Vol.
No

Market Context

400m Freestyle Winner (M)

Rules

400m Freestyle Winner (M)

Market Context

400m Freestyle Winner (M)

About

Related

400m Freestyle Winner (M)

Lukas Martens (GER)$10,783 Vol.Yescircle check

Samuel Short (AUS)$50 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Other$369 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Elijah Winnington (AUS)$20 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Kim Woo-Min (KOR)$950 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Oliver Klemet (GER)$29 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Guilherme Costa (BRA)$865 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Felix Auboeck (AUT)$68 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

400m Freestyle Winner (M)

Rules

400m Freestyle Winner (M)

Market Context

400m Freestyle Winner (M)

About

Related

Lukas Martens (GER)
$10,783 Vol.
Yes

Samuel Short (AUS)
$50 Vol.
No

Other
$369 Vol.
No

Elijah Winnington (AUS)
$20 Vol.
No

Kim Woo-Min (KOR)
$950 Vol.
No

Oliver Klemet (GER)
$29 Vol.
No

Guilherme Costa (BRA)
$865 Vol.
No

Felix Auboeck (AUT)
$68 Vol.
No