Trader consensus prices Aryna Sabalenka as the clear 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 25.5% implied probability, driven by her explosive serve and flat groundstrokes that thrive on fast grass, bolstered by strong showings like 2023 semifinals and 2024 Australian Open dominance despite a pre-quarterfinal withdrawal injury. Elena Rybakina trails closely at 16% with her proven pedigree as 2022 champion and consistent deep grass runs, her towering serve neutralizing returners effectively. Iga Świątek's 16.4% reflects clay-court supremacy but persistent Wimbledon struggles, including a 2024 third-round exit, capping her grass upside. Emerging talents like Victoria Mboko (5.4%) gain traction from junior success and upsets over veterans, while Coco Gauff (5%) lags on inconsistent grass results, underscoring how serve power and surface history differentiate leaders in this open field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 16.4%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 5.6%
$1,635,472 Vol.
$1,635,472 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 26%
Iga Świątek 16.4%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 5.6%
$1,635,472 Vol.
$1,635,472 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
26%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
6%
Coco Gauff
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Emma Raducanu
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Olga Danilović
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Aryna Sabalenka as the clear 2026 Women's Wimbledon favorite at 25.5% implied probability, driven by her explosive serve and flat groundstrokes that thrive on fast grass, bolstered by strong showings like 2023 semifinals and 2024 Australian Open dominance despite a pre-quarterfinal withdrawal injury. Elena Rybakina trails closely at 16% with her proven pedigree as 2022 champion and consistent deep grass runs, her towering serve neutralizing returners effectively. Iga Świątek's 16.4% reflects clay-court supremacy but persistent Wimbledon struggles, including a 2024 third-round exit, capping her grass upside. Emerging talents like Victoria Mboko (5.4%) gain traction from junior success and upsets over veterans, while Coco Gauff (5%) lags on inconsistent grass results, underscoring how serve power and surface history differentiate leaders in this open field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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