Trader consensus slightly favors Robert MacIntyre at 28% implied probability after his first-round 66 left him tied for second at -6 behind leader Mark Hubbard's -7 on the demanding TPC San Antonio Oaks Course, bolstered by the Scot's elite ball-striking and recent momentum from strong strokes gained approach stats. A tight leaderboard with six players at -6, nine at -5 including Ludvig Åberg and Tommy Fleetwood, and over two dozen under par keeps probabilities bunched around 25% for Daniel Brown, Rickie Fowler, Austin Eckroat, and others amid typical windy conditions and bentgrass putting challenges. No runaway leader and volatility in this Masters tune-up event highlight the competitive field dynamics as round 2 begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSeong-Hyeon Kim 46.0%
Jordan L. Smith 24.2%
Robert MacIntyre 18.6%
Rickie Fowler 11.6%
$269,419 Vol.
$269,419 Vol.
Seong-Hyeon Kim
23%
Jordan L. Smith
24%
Robert MacIntyre
19%
Rickie Fowler
25%
Ludvig Aberg
10%
Tommy Fleetwood
8%
Maverick McNealy
6%
Tony Finau
5%
Ryo Hisatsune
12%
Steven Fisk
10%
Mark Hubbard
5%
Marco Penge
25%
Alex Smalley
3%
J.J. Spaun
3%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Eric Cole
11%
Mac Meissner
24%
Andrew Putnam
2%
Austin Smotherman
25%
Andrew Novak
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Brian Harman
2%
Stephan Jaeger
25%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Chris Kirk
23%
Christo Lamprecht
25%
Zach Bauchou
25%
Chandler Blanchet
25%
Daniel Brown
24%
Austin Eckroat
25%
A.J. Ewart
25%
Tom Kim
25%
Hao-Tong Li
25%
Chad Ramey
25%
Kristoffer Reitan
25%
Kevin Roy
25%
Adam Schenk
24%
Brandt Snedeker
25%
Ze-Cheng Dou
25%
Emiliano Grillo
24%
Garrick Higgo
25%
Lee Hodges
25%
Rico Hoey
1%
Beau Hossler
25%
Takumi Kanaya
24%
Jeffrey Kang
25%
Bud Cauley
24%
Mackenzie Hughes
25%
Max McGreevy
25%
Alexander Noren
25%
John Parry
12%
JT Poston
25%
Seamus Power
25%
Doug Ghim
25%
Max Homa
25%
David Lipsky
1%
Peter Malnati
25%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Pontus Nyholm
24%
Matthieu Pavon
24%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Joe Highsmith
24%
Kensei Hirata
24%
Billy Horschel
24%
William Mouw
1%
David Ford
24%
Tom Hoge
24%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Denny McCarthy
23%
Ricky Castillo
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
25%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Webb Simpson
<1%
Lucas Glover
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Keith Mitchell
25%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Adrien Saddier
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim 46.0%
Jordan L. Smith 24.2%
Robert MacIntyre 18.6%
Rickie Fowler 11.6%
$269,419 Vol.
$269,419 Vol.
Seong-Hyeon Kim
23%
Jordan L. Smith
24%
Robert MacIntyre
19%
Rickie Fowler
25%
Ludvig Aberg
10%
Tommy Fleetwood
8%
Maverick McNealy
6%
Tony Finau
5%
Ryo Hisatsune
12%
Steven Fisk
10%
Mark Hubbard
5%
Marco Penge
25%
Alex Smalley
3%
J.J. Spaun
3%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Eric Cole
11%
Mac Meissner
24%
Andrew Putnam
2%
Austin Smotherman
25%
Andrew Novak
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Brian Harman
2%
Stephan Jaeger
25%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Chris Kirk
23%
Christo Lamprecht
25%
Zach Bauchou
25%
Chandler Blanchet
25%
Daniel Brown
24%
Austin Eckroat
25%
A.J. Ewart
25%
Tom Kim
25%
Hao-Tong Li
25%
Chad Ramey
25%
Kristoffer Reitan
25%
Kevin Roy
25%
Adam Schenk
24%
Brandt Snedeker
25%
Ze-Cheng Dou
25%
Emiliano Grillo
24%
Garrick Higgo
25%
Lee Hodges
25%
Rico Hoey
1%
Beau Hossler
25%
Takumi Kanaya
24%
Jeffrey Kang
25%
Bud Cauley
24%
Mackenzie Hughes
25%
Max McGreevy
25%
Alexander Noren
25%
John Parry
12%
JT Poston
25%
Seamus Power
25%
Doug Ghim
25%
Max Homa
25%
David Lipsky
1%
Peter Malnati
25%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Pontus Nyholm
24%
Matthieu Pavon
24%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Joe Highsmith
24%
Kensei Hirata
24%
Billy Horschel
24%
William Mouw
1%
David Ford
24%
Tom Hoge
24%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Denny McCarthy
23%
Ricky Castillo
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
25%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Webb Simpson
<1%
Lucas Glover
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Keith Mitchell
25%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Adrien Saddier
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Robert MacIntyre at 28% implied probability after his first-round 66 left him tied for second at -6 behind leader Mark Hubbard's -7 on the demanding TPC San Antonio Oaks Course, bolstered by the Scot's elite ball-striking and recent momentum from strong strokes gained approach stats. A tight leaderboard with six players at -6, nine at -5 including Ludvig Åberg and Tommy Fleetwood, and over two dozen under par keeps probabilities bunched around 25% for Daniel Brown, Rickie Fowler, Austin Eckroat, and others amid typical windy conditions and bentgrass putting challenges. No runaway leader and volatility in this Masters tune-up event highlight the competitive field dynamics as round 2 begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions