Trader consensus reflects an exceptionally tight race atop the Texas Children's Houston Open after 54 holes at Memorial Park Golf Course, with Michael Kim holding a one-stroke lead over Henry Lebioda and Kyoung-Hoon Lee (both 45.6%), while JT Poston, Ryo Hisatsune, Denny McCarthy, Cam Davis, and Cole Hammer lurk within two shots—all priced 40-46%. Kim's blistering 64 in Round 3, fueled by hot putting and precise approach play, propelled him ahead amid 15-20 mph winds that tested ball-striking; Lebioda gained ground with elite strokes gained: putting (1st last five starts), and Lee's tee-to-green consistency suits the long par-70 layout. Scheffler's pre-tournament withdrawal weakened the field, enabling this mid-tier cluster, with final-round pressure and weather favoring veterans like McCarthy over big names like Min Woo Lee (6.5%). Upsets loom given course history of volatile leaderboards.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedDaniel Brown 37.6%
Max McGreevy 35.9%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart 35.4%
A.J. Ewart 35.3%
$386,693 Vol.
$386,693 Vol.
Daniel Brown
38%
Max McGreevy
36%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
35%
A.J. Ewart
35%
Bud Cauley
8%
Min Woo Lee
7%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Brooks Koepka
4%
Sam Burns
4%
Ryan Gerard
4%
Jake Knapp
3%
Marco Penge
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Ben Griffin
3%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Kurt Kitayama
2%
Wyndham Clark
2%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Harris English
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Jason Day
1%
Max Greyserman
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthieu Pavon
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
William Mouw
1%
Michael Brennan
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Christo Lamprecht
1%
Pontus Nyholm
1%
Luke Clanton
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Davis Riley
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Patton Kizzire
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Marcelo Rozo
1%
Peter Malnati
1%
Trey Mullinax
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Brian Campbell
1%
Davis Chatfield
1%
Nick Dunlap
1%
Lucas Glover
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Charley Hoffman
1%
Mason Howell
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
David Ford
1%
David Lipsky
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Garrick Higgo
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Bronson Burgoon
<1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Michael Kim
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
39%
Henry Lebioda
45%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
38%
JT Poston
-
Denny McCarthy
43%
Matt McCarty
-
Cam Davis
-
Cole Hammer
-
Ryo Hisatsune
-
Daniel Brown 37.6%
Max McGreevy 35.9%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart 35.4%
A.J. Ewart 35.3%
$386,693 Vol.
$386,693 Vol.
Daniel Brown
38%
Max McGreevy
36%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
35%
A.J. Ewart
35%
Bud Cauley
8%
Min Woo Lee
7%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Brooks Koepka
4%
Sam Burns
4%
Ryan Gerard
4%
Jake Knapp
3%
Marco Penge
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Ben Griffin
3%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Kurt Kitayama
2%
Wyndham Clark
2%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Harris English
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Jason Day
1%
Max Greyserman
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthieu Pavon
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
William Mouw
1%
Michael Brennan
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Christo Lamprecht
1%
Pontus Nyholm
1%
Luke Clanton
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Davis Riley
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Patton Kizzire
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Marcelo Rozo
1%
Peter Malnati
1%
Trey Mullinax
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Brian Campbell
1%
Davis Chatfield
1%
Nick Dunlap
1%
Lucas Glover
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Charley Hoffman
1%
Mason Howell
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
David Ford
1%
David Lipsky
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Garrick Higgo
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Bronson Burgoon
<1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Michael Kim
-
Seong-Hyeon Kim
39%
Henry Lebioda
45%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
-
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
38%
JT Poston
-
Denny McCarthy
43%
Matt McCarty
-
Cam Davis
-
Cole Hammer
-
Ryo Hisatsune
-
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects an exceptionally tight race atop the Texas Children's Houston Open after 54 holes at Memorial Park Golf Course, with Michael Kim holding a one-stroke lead over Henry Lebioda and Kyoung-Hoon Lee (both 45.6%), while JT Poston, Ryo Hisatsune, Denny McCarthy, Cam Davis, and Cole Hammer lurk within two shots—all priced 40-46%. Kim's blistering 64 in Round 3, fueled by hot putting and precise approach play, propelled him ahead amid 15-20 mph winds that tested ball-striking; Lebioda gained ground with elite strokes gained: putting (1st last five starts), and Lee's tee-to-green consistency suits the long par-70 layout. Scheffler's pre-tournament withdrawal weakened the field, enabling this mid-tier cluster, with final-round pressure and weather favoring veterans like McCarthy over big names like Min Woo Lee (6.5%). Upsets loom given course history of volatile leaderboards.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions