Henry Lebioda holds the outright lead after 36 holes at 13-under par with a bogey-free 64 in Round 2, fueling his 41.7% implied probability as traders price in his ball-striking edge on Memorial Park's demanding layout. Seong-Hyeon Kim and JT Poston lurk one stroke back at 12-under, their strong approach play and par-5 scoring boosting respective 32.9% and 32.4% chances in a tight race with 36 holes left. Daniel Brown and Cole Hammer round out top-five contention at 11-under, capitalizing on recent form surges, while bigger names like Sam Burns fade post-cut. Weekend volatility remains high amid variable winds, with strokes gained putting key for separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSam Burns 9.2%
Marco Penge 6.3%
Denny McCarthy 5.2%
Min Woo Lee 5%
$424,410 Vol.
$424,410 Vol.
Sam Burns
9%
Marco Penge
6%
Denny McCarthy
5%
Min Woo Lee
5%
Kurt Kitayama
4%
Jake Knapp
4%
Pierceson Coody
3%
Chris Gotterup
3%
Michael Brennan
3%
Rickie Fowler
3%
A.J. Ewart
2%
Stephan Jaeger
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Ricky Castillo
2%
Harris English
2%
Rico Hoey
2%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Tom Hoge
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Luke Clanton
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Tony Finau
1%
John Parry
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Austin Eckroat
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Davis Riley
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Patton Kizzire
1%
Christo Lamprecht
1%
Peter Malnati
1%
Trey Mullinax
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Brian Campbell
1%
Rafael Campos
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Brice Garnett
1%
Lucas Glover
1%
Garrick Higgo
1%
Joe Highsmith
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Mason Howell
1%
Mark Hubbard
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Chandler Phillips
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
William Mouw
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Matthieu Pavon
1%
Nick Dunlap
1%
David Ford
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Bronson Burgoon
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
25%
JT Poston
25%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
32%
Henry Lebioda
41%
Daniel Brown
27%
Cole Hammer
27%
Sam Burns 9.2%
Marco Penge 6.3%
Denny McCarthy 5.2%
Min Woo Lee 5%
$424,410 Vol.
$424,410 Vol.
Sam Burns
9%
Marco Penge
6%
Denny McCarthy
5%
Min Woo Lee
5%
Kurt Kitayama
4%
Jake Knapp
4%
Pierceson Coody
3%
Chris Gotterup
3%
Michael Brennan
3%
Rickie Fowler
3%
A.J. Ewart
2%
Stephan Jaeger
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Ricky Castillo
2%
Harris English
2%
Rico Hoey
2%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Tom Hoge
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Luke Clanton
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Tony Finau
1%
John Parry
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Austin Eckroat
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Davis Riley
1%
Jeffrey Kang
1%
Patton Kizzire
1%
Christo Lamprecht
1%
Peter Malnati
1%
Trey Mullinax
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Brian Campbell
1%
Rafael Campos
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Brice Garnett
1%
Lucas Glover
1%
Garrick Higgo
1%
Joe Highsmith
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Mason Howell
1%
Mark Hubbard
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Chandler Phillips
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
William Mouw
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Matthieu Pavon
1%
Nick Dunlap
1%
David Ford
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Bronson Burgoon
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
25%
JT Poston
25%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
32%
Henry Lebioda
41%
Daniel Brown
27%
Cole Hammer
27%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Henry Lebioda holds the outright lead after 36 holes at 13-under par with a bogey-free 64 in Round 2, fueling his 41.7% implied probability as traders price in his ball-striking edge on Memorial Park's demanding layout. Seong-Hyeon Kim and JT Poston lurk one stroke back at 12-under, their strong approach play and par-5 scoring boosting respective 32.9% and 32.4% chances in a tight race with 36 holes left. Daniel Brown and Cole Hammer round out top-five contention at 11-under, capitalizing on recent form surges, while bigger names like Sam Burns fade post-cut. Weekend volatility remains high amid variable winds, with strokes gained putting key for separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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