Colorado Avalanche hold the edge in trader consensus at 20.2% implied probability for the 2026 Stanley Cup, driven by their league-leading 49-14-10 record and Presidents' Trophy pace in the Central Division, with no major injuries disrupting their high-powered attack led by Nathan MacKinnon. Tampa Bay Lightning trail closely at 13.6%, buoyed by veteran playoff experience and recent wins like their 5-2 victory over Edmonton on March 21, while Carolina Hurricanes sit at 10.5% after reaching 100 points via a third-period surge against Columbus on March 31. Dallas Stars (7.8%) maintain contention on a 14-game point streak featuring Jake Oettinger's elite goaltending, and surging Buffalo Sabres (5.4%) top the Atlantic at 44-20-7, underscoring widespread parity with tight wild-card races and locked rosters post-trade deadline keeping the postseason path unpredictable for all top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedColorado Avalanche 20.1%
Tampa Bay Lightning 13.9%
Carolina Hurricanes 12%
Dallas Stars 7.8%
$59,974,062 Vol.
$59,974,062 Vol.
Colorado Avalanche
20%
Tampa Bay Lightning
14%
Carolina Hurricanes
12%
Dallas Stars
8%
Edmonton Oilers
7%
Buffalo Sabres
5%
Minnesota Wild
5%
Montreal Canadiens
4%
Vegas Golden Knights
4%
Pittsburgh Penguins
4%
Ottawa Senators
3%
Utah Mammoth
3%
Anaheim Ducks
2%
Columbus Blue Jackets
2%
Boston Bruins
2%
New York Islanders
1%
Winnipeg Jets
1%
Los Angeles Kings
1%
Detroit Red Wings
1%
San Jose Sharks
1%
Seattle Kraken
<1%
Washington Capitals
<1%
Philadelphia Flyers
<1%
Nashville Predators
<1%
Florida Panthers
<1%
Calgary Flames
<1%
New Jersey Devils
<1%
Toronto Maple Leafs
<1%
Chicago Blackhawks
<1%
St. Louis Blues
<1%
Colorado Avalanche 20.1%
Tampa Bay Lightning 13.9%
Carolina Hurricanes 12%
Dallas Stars 7.8%
$59,974,062 Vol.
$59,974,062 Vol.
Colorado Avalanche
20%
Tampa Bay Lightning
14%
Carolina Hurricanes
12%
Dallas Stars
8%
Edmonton Oilers
7%
Buffalo Sabres
5%
Minnesota Wild
5%
Montreal Canadiens
4%
Vegas Golden Knights
4%
Pittsburgh Penguins
4%
Ottawa Senators
3%
Utah Mammoth
3%
Anaheim Ducks
2%
Columbus Blue Jackets
2%
Boston Bruins
2%
New York Islanders
1%
Winnipeg Jets
1%
Los Angeles Kings
1%
Detroit Red Wings
1%
San Jose Sharks
1%
Seattle Kraken
<1%
Washington Capitals
<1%
Philadelphia Flyers
<1%
Nashville Predators
<1%
Florida Panthers
<1%
Calgary Flames
<1%
New Jersey Devils
<1%
Toronto Maple Leafs
<1%
Chicago Blackhawks
<1%
St. Louis Blues
<1%
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2025, 11:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado Avalanche hold the edge in trader consensus at 20.2% implied probability for the 2026 Stanley Cup, driven by their league-leading 49-14-10 record and Presidents' Trophy pace in the Central Division, with no major injuries disrupting their high-powered attack led by Nathan MacKinnon. Tampa Bay Lightning trail closely at 13.6%, buoyed by veteran playoff experience and recent wins like their 5-2 victory over Edmonton on March 21, while Carolina Hurricanes sit at 10.5% after reaching 100 points via a third-period surge against Columbus on March 31. Dallas Stars (7.8%) maintain contention on a 14-game point streak featuring Jake Oettinger's elite goaltending, and surging Buffalo Sabres (5.4%) top the Atlantic at 44-20-7, underscoring widespread parity with tight wild-card races and locked rosters post-trade deadline keeping the postseason path unpredictable for all top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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