**Alexander Zverev captured the 2026 US Open men's singles title, defeating Ben Shelton in the final 6-3, 7-6(7-2), 5-7, 6-2 to secure his second major of the season after the French Open.** This outcome solidified the top seed's dominant market position, reflecting his consistent hard-court form, straight-sets wins from the third round onward, and ability to navigate a late-night quarterfinal against Carlos Alcaraz before prevailing in the semifinals against Karen Khachanov. Zverev's experience in major finals, combined with Shelton's strong but ultimately insufficient run as the home favorite, aligned with trader consensus on the German's edge. Scenarios that could still shift resolution include any unforeseen official disputes, though none have emerged following the September 13 conclusion. Casper Ruud's lower pricing stems from his earlier exit and lack of contention in the draw.