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2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain 16%

England 14%

France 13%

Argentina 11%

Polymarket

$123,618,145 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$123,618,145
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Created At
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain 16%

England 14%

France 13%

Argentina 11%

Polymarket

$123,618,145 Vol.

Market icon

Spain

$1,531,020 Vol.

16%

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England

$1,211,618 Vol.

14%

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France

$1,486,896 Vol.

13%

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Argentina

$1,411,830 Vol.

11%

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Brazil

$1,057,284 Vol.

10%

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Portugal

$3,876,814 Vol.

7%

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Germany

$2,383,689 Vol.

6%

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Netherlands

$2,596,334 Vol.

3%

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Norway

$2,725,923 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$2,196,020 Vol.

2%

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Belgium

$2,263,031 Vol.

2%

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Colombia

$1,817,522 Vol.

2%

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Morocco

$2,437,565 Vol.

2%

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USA

$1,909,362 Vol.

2%

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Japan

$2,057,972 Vol.

1%

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Mexico

$3,289,561 Vol.

1%

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Uruguay

$2,690,949 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$2,714,189 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,988,757 Vol.

1%

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Ecuador

$2,329,379 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$2,591,119 Vol.

1%

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South Korea

$3,038,166 Vol.

1%

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Austria

$2,359,276 Vol.

1%

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Ivory Coast

$1,835,931 Vol.

1%

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Canada

$3,895,006 Vol.

1%

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Scotland

$3,695,233 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguay

$2,178,994 Vol.

<1%

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Egypt

$2,725,915 Vol.

<1%

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Iran

$2,006,341 Vol.

<1%

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Ghana

$1,441,951 Vol.

<1%

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Algeria

$2,040,637 Vol.

<1%

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Tunisia

$2,118,280 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbekistan

$7,358,337 Vol.

<1%

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Qatar

$2,505,469 Vol.

<1%

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Australia

$2,004,086 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Arabia

$4,567,118 Vol.

<1%

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New Zealand

$7,175,501 Vol.

<1%

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Haiti

$3,645,237 Vol.

<1%

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Jordan

$7,282,676 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$6,172,393 Vol.

<1%

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South Africa

$4,955,869 Vol.

<1%

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Cape Verde

$2,784,306 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.