Market icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Market icon

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain 15.4%

England 13.3%

Argentina 11.3%

France 10.8%

Polymarket

$275,494,322 Vol.

Spain 15.4%

England 13.3%

Argentina 11.3%

France 10.8%

Polymarket

$275,494,322 Vol.

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Spain

$3,352,010 Vol.

15%

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England

$2,752,161 Vol.

13%

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Argentina

$3,576,696 Vol.

11%

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France

$2,933,255 Vol.

11%

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Brazil

$3,162,586 Vol.

9%

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Portugal

$6,611,493 Vol.

7%

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Germany

$4,981,727 Vol.

6%

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Norway

$6,048,637 Vol.

4%

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Netherlands

$5,791,236 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$4,724,272 Vol.

2%

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Colombia

$3,929,329 Vol.

2%

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Belgium

$5,123,757 Vol.

2%

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USA

$3,249,075 Vol.

2%

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Japan

$5,997,869 Vol.

2%

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Morocco

$5,195,424 Vol.

2%

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Mexico

$5,411,057 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$5,478,406 Vol.

1%

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Uruguay

$4,157,890 Vol.

1%

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Ecuador

$5,106,247 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$6,527,094 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$6,293,604 Vol.

1%

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South Korea

$7,190,684 Vol.

1%

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Austria

$6,539,126 Vol.

1%

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Canada

$8,454,678 Vol.

<1%

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Scotland

$7,265,035 Vol.

<1%

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Ivory Coast

$5,319,988 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguay

$8,245,513 Vol.

<1%

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Egypt

$6,707,355 Vol.

<1%

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Algeria

$4,828,622 Vol.

<1%

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South Africa

$15,112,396 Vol.

<1%

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Qatar

$7,695,945 Vol.

<1%

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New Zealand

$11,208,095 Vol.

<1%

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Haiti

$6,977,145 Vol.

<1%

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Jordan

$10,933,048 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$9,490,377 Vol.

<1%

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Iran

$6,868,576 Vol.

<1%

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Ghana

$3,492,096 Vol.

<1%

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Tunisia

$4,794,390 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbekistan

$22,880,692 Vol.

<1%

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Cape Verde

$5,366,571 Vol.

<1%

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Australia

$4,892,934 Vol.

<1%

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Saudi Arabia

$10,562,642 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$275,494,322
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 15%, followed by "England" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " has generated $275.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " is "Spain" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "England" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.