George Russell leads trader consensus at 56.5% implied probability for the F1 Drivers' Championship, driven by Mercedes' stable lineup and anticipated car upgrades for 2025, positioning him as the team's veteran leader. Kimi Antonelli's recent promotion (17.6%) as Hamilton's replacement injects hype around the rookie's raw pace from dominant F2 form, potentially forming a potent duo. Charles Leclerc (6.2%) and Lewis Hamilton (6.0%) reflect Ferrari's star power but lingering doubts over chassis reliability. Max Verstappen's drop to 4.5% stems from Red Bull's internal instability, Perez's axing, and contract speculation, while McLaren's Norris (3.3%) and Piastri (1.1%) face splitter on shared resources amid tight intra-team dynamics. Rookies like Hadjar and Lindblad linger at 0.5-0.4% as high-risk longshots.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedGeorge Russell 56%
Kimi Antonelli 17.6%
Charles Leclerc 6.8%
Lewis Hamilton 6.2%
$42,855,296 Vol.
$42,855,296 Vol.
George Russell
56%
Kimi Antonelli
18%
Charles Leclerc
7%
Lewis Hamilton
6%
Max Verstappen
5%
Lando Norris
3%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Nico Hülkenberg
1%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
George Russell 56%
Kimi Antonelli 17.6%
Charles Leclerc 6.8%
Lewis Hamilton 6.2%
$42,855,296 Vol.
$42,855,296 Vol.
George Russell
56%
Kimi Antonelli
18%
Charles Leclerc
7%
Lewis Hamilton
6%
Max Verstappen
5%
Lando Norris
3%
Oscar Piastri
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Nico Hülkenberg
1%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...George Russell leads trader consensus at 56.5% implied probability for the F1 Drivers' Championship, driven by Mercedes' stable lineup and anticipated car upgrades for 2025, positioning him as the team's veteran leader. Kimi Antonelli's recent promotion (17.6%) as Hamilton's replacement injects hype around the rookie's raw pace from dominant F2 form, potentially forming a potent duo. Charles Leclerc (6.2%) and Lewis Hamilton (6.0%) reflect Ferrari's star power but lingering doubts over chassis reliability. Max Verstappen's drop to 4.5% stems from Red Bull's internal instability, Perez's axing, and contract speculation, while McLaren's Norris (3.3%) and Piastri (1.1%) face splitter on shared resources amid tight intra-team dynamics. Rookies like Hadjar and Lindblad linger at 0.5-0.4% as high-risk longshots.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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