Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$320,129 Vol.

Normas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases another living Israeli hostage held in Gaza by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Hostage rescues will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$320,129
Fecha de finalización
Oct 12, 2025
Creado en
Oct 9, 2025, 11:14 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases another living Israeli hostage held in Gaza by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$320,129 Vol.

Acerca de

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases another living Israeli hostage held in Gaza by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Hostage rescues will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$320,129
Fecha de finalización
Oct 12, 2025
Creado en
Oct 9, 2025, 11:14 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases another living Israeli hostage held in Gaza by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.